maybe2-1mixLVLT
ESL Challenger League · Group B · Nov 13, 2026 · 14:00–16:45 UTC · 2h 45m · VOD on twitch
Volume
$41.2K
Trades
1,475
Significant
6 ≥ $500
Low · high
45¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = maybe · 1-min VWAP · rings = 2 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
smart consensus leaned maybe from G3 at 62¢ · 68% → 100%
MapWinnerDurationPrice · start → endMap volumeTradesSignificant
G1maybe66¢ → 84¢$5.0K
G1maybe47m 22s · 14:03–14:5166¢ → 84¢ +18¢$5.0K2841
G2mixLVLT84¢ → 59¢$7.7K
G2mixLVLT55m 23s · 14:51–15:4684¢ → 59¢ −25¢$7.7K4822
G3maybe59¢ → 99.9¢no map market
G3maybe58m 25s · 15:46–16:4559¢ → 99.9¢ +41¢no Map 3 market on Polymarket
Biggest buyers of the winnermaybe never traded below 45¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner25 wallets
#WalletAvg entrySize · enteredRealized P&LWin rate
$3.8K at 82¢· pre-match · 2h 53m before· win rate 51.5%
$940 at 63¢· G3 · 15:58· win rate 50.0%
$700 at 73¢· G3 · 10:29· win rate 57.4%
$669 at 74¢· G1 · 00:23· win rate 63.9%
$564 at 72¢· pre-match · 1h 13m before· win rate 40.3%
$550 at 76¢· G1 · 07:15· win rate 56.4%
$372 at 93¢· G3 · 27:19· win rate 75.3%
$248 at 77¢· G1 · 06:02· win rate 50.7%
$241 at 61¢· pre-match · 42m before· win rate 47.8%
$229 at 61¢· G3 · 09:38· win rate 57.1%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 5 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($1.4K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 170 wallets
Top winners
sdasdsaddsadsa0x5343…c27aretail+$548
heije0x2925…5c07retail+$159
goingbackto5050x197f…7cc5retail+$154
Neat-Robot0xa3c2…df3dbot+$146
rubemanomal0x0192…ba59retail+$130
Top losers
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$680
Kaczka0x067a…1aearetail−$460
PARKERRR0x5747…7fdfretail−$100
Well-Worn-Slaw0x4f29…7a7eretail−$84
Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart−$73
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): 0x54ec…73e4, NotJump
Smart consensus · at resolution12 wallets
100%YES maybe · the winner· from 68% at match start
YES capital
$13.7K
NO capital
$4.4K
Hedged
$1.5K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 6 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
More from this tournamentESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 2026 →
Match markets12 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: maybe vs mixLVLT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Group B100¢ / 0¢$19.6Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: maybe vs mixLVLT - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$9.6Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: maybe vs mixLVLT - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$12.7Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$267closedseries handicapMap Handicap: maybe (-1.5) vs mixLVLT (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$36closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-3.5) vs mixLVLT (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: maybe (-3.5) vs mixLVLT (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed