Four Magic1-2Alliance
ESL Challenger League · Group A · Nov 13, 2026 · 14:00–17:03 UTC · 3h 03m · VOD on kick
Volume
$152.0K
Trades
3,705
Significant
33 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 45¢
Price path · full matchYES = Four Magic · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
smart consensus leaned Alliance from 14:04 at 93¢ · 98% → 94%
MapWinnerDurationPrice · start → endMap volumeTradesSignificant
G1Four Magic7¢ → 27¢$33.8K
G1Four Magic56m 26s · 14:05–15:027¢ → 27¢ +20¢$33.8K1,46210
G2Alliance27¢ → 20¢$13.6K
G2Alliance1h 00m · 15:02–16:0227¢ → 20¢ −7¢$13.6K4987
G3Alliance20¢ → 0.1¢no map market
G3Alliance1h 00m · 16:02–17:0320¢ → 0.1¢ −20¢no Map 3 market on Polymarket
Earliest big buyersfirst Alliance buy ≥ $1K · by time11 wallets
#WalletAvg entrySize · enteredRealized P&LWin rate
$5.4K at 81¢· pre-match · 4h 42m before· win rate 51.5%
$1.5K at 75¢· pre-match · 56m before· win rate 24.3%
$2.0K at 83¢· G1 · 01:47· win rate 57.4%
$1.6K at 76¢· G1 · 02:59· win rate 40.3%
$1.3K at 77¢· G1 · 09:20· win rate 63.9%
$3.5K at 66¢· G1 · 34:28· win rate 56.7%
$1.1K at 55¢· G2 · 15:35· win rate 59.2%
$2.3K at 62¢· G2 · 16:55· win rate 59.1%
$1.4K at 64¢· G2 · 17:40· win rate 53.2%
$3.4K at 70¢· G2 · 20:11· win rate 67.6%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 360 wallets
Top winners
Liquidifier0x4818…bf0bsmart+$1.8K
ThinkAndGrowRich0x2837…39d8retail+$1.4K
JabJabich0xa927…8d9fsmart+$1.4K
diceking0x3db4…d69bsmart+$929
lma0o0o0o0x82d2…beearetail+$764
Top losers
MaoZeDonK0x19ae…395cretail−$2.1K
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$830
LFGGGGGGGGGGGGG0xf61a…5943retail−$565
Cheap-Estrogen-Curriculum0x6e2b…103eretail−$533
crabfavor0x0636…d49asmart−$505
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): 0x54ec…73e4, NotJump
Smart consensus · at resolution37 wallets
94%NO Alliance · the winner· from 98% at match start
YES capital
$15.3K
NO capital
$40.8K
Hedged
$11.8K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 33 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
More from this tournamentESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 2026 →
Match markets9 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Four Magic vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Group A0¢ / 100¢$69.7Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Four Magic vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$66.0Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Four Magic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$21.4Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$68closedseries handicapMap Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Four Magic (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$120closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-6.5) vs Four Magic (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-6.5) vs Four Magic (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed