CS2CCT Europe · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · maybe

maybe2-1ILLYRIANS

CCT Europe · Playoffs· Sep 29, 2026 · 11:00–13:40 UTC· 2h 40m· VOD on kick
Volume
$127.6K
Trades
3,185
Significant
18 ≥ $500
Low · high
16¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = maybe · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · maybeG1G2 · ILLYRIANSG2G3 · maybeG316¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 13:35$996 YES · TommyLeePeeca$893 YES · Flaky-Integer$835 YES · itsonlyamatteroftime$626 YES · austr$540 YES · dabossrealman$518 YES · dsknadkasnkfjsSMART34%66% maybe11:0013:40 resolved
smart consensus leaned MAYBE from G3 at 73¢ · 34% → 66%
G1maybe26¢ → 69¢$6.5K
G2ILLYRIANS69¢ → 37¢$5.4K
G3maybe37¢ → 99.9¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN88¢ · $10.6K bid wall gone in 8s$5.5K eaten · $2.2K pulled · $2.9K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:austrhedger+5 more on the same level· 98% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· itsonlyamatteroftime $1.7K· TommyLeePeeca $1.4K· Flaky-Integer $983· +10 more· 30 fills
Who entered before the reversalmaybe last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 50:32 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L17 wallets
1crazyvanga0x58a6…73d7smart+$1.1K
$399 at 27¢· pre-match · 13h 27m before· win rate 61.0%
2frankenstein750x0f0b…f901retail+$610
$390 at 39¢· G3 · 30:49· win rate 53.8%
3pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart+$528
$5.0K at 49¢· pre-match · 6m before· win rate 57.5%
4cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$385
$453 at 39¢· pre-match · 10m before· win rate 60.2%
5BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882retail+$283
$166 at 37¢· pre-match · 3h 8m before· win rate 42.5%
6GC-C0xb2da…ce6asmart+$250
$152 at 37¢· pre-match · 4h 12m before· win rate 62.2%
7300PS0x8f41…260esmart+$236
$133 at 36¢· pre-match · 2h 28m before· win rate 57.1%
8poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$229
$606 at 40¢· pre-match · 3h 23m before· win rate 47.6%
9Specific-Pear-Whirlwind0x7091…96f8retail+$186
$114 at 38¢· pre-match · 2h 55m before· win rate 49.7%
10alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$185
$189 at 26¢· pre-match · 40m before· win rate 44.6%
Reversal = last time maybe traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 50:32). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 142 wallets
Top winners
crazyvanga0x58a6…73d7smart+$1.1K
frankenstein750x0f0b…f901retail+$610
pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart+$528
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$385
BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882retail+$283
Top losers
animal.bean0x2a25…8055retail−$652
Advanced-Polyester-Hemisphere0x234c…2eearetail−$516
Oneplus150xe58c…ed65retail−$438
kaiser790x1eb3…6bferetail−$219
yyyrl0xda77…683fbot−$207
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Flaky-Integer, TommyLeePeeca, austr, Doomsday77 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution108 wallets
66%YES maybe · the winner· from 34% at match start
YES capital
$46.5K
NO capital
$40.1K
Hedged
$9.4K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 18 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
TommyLeePeeca0x0063…2dd2$996
sell YES88¢series13:27:52smart
win rate 69.1%lifetime +$524.4K
TommyLeePeeca0x0063…2dd2$911
YES88¢series13:32:09smart
win rate 69.1%lifetime +$524.4K
Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787c$893
sell YES88¢series13:27:54hedgersmart
win rate 61.9%lifetime +$1.19M
itsonlyamatteroftime0x664a…fc5f$835
sell YES88¢series13:27:52hedger
win rate 47.1%lifetime −$794.7K
TommyLeePeeca0x0063…2dd2$628
sell YES89¢series13:33:45smart
win rate 69.1%lifetime +$524.4K
austr0x1245…e0af$626
YES64¢series13:10:13retail
win rate 62.3%lifetime −$18.4K
dabossrealman0xc0e4…dd38$540
sell YES88¢series13:27:54smart
win rate 64.3%lifetime +$519.6K
TommyLeePeeca0x0063…2dd2$522
sell YES86¢series13:33:12smart
win rate 69.1%lifetime +$524.4K
Match markets15 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
maybe 2-1 ILLYRIANS · CCT Europe · match recap | OrcaLayer