CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Arcade Esports

MARKandLARRY0-2Arcade Esports

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 24, 2026 · 09:25–10:53 UTC· 1h 28m· VOD on kick
Volume
$23.0K
Trades
720
Significant
2 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 28¢
Price path · full matchYES = MARKandLARRY · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢G1 · Arcade EsportsG1G2 · Arcade EsportsG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 10:39$534 NO · ESICE0o0o0oSMART100%87% Arcade Esports09:2510:53 resolved
smart consensus leaned ARC from 09:04 at 73¢ · 100% → 87%
G1Arcade Esports30¢ → 13¢$4.5K
G2Arcade Esports13¢ → 0.1¢$4.8K
Biggest buyers of the winnerArcade Esports never traded below 67¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner1 wallets
1Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart+$15
$179 at 77¢· pre-match· win rate 62.5%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 1 wallet bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($195 in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 41 wallets
Top winners
Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail+$18
Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart+$15
DegenAcc30x94d2…cfbdretail+$15
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail+$14
poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$6
Top losers
BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart−$48
retot0x9473…cba4retail−$12
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$7
promptt0x1fd6…d4a0retail−$5
vardaman-bundren0x77de…e67aretail−$5
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): GoldonaBank, JohnLKellyJr, 1999starter, foforofr +4
Smart consensus · at resolution16 wallets
87%NO Arcade Esports · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$983
NO capital
$3.2K
Hedged
$2.3K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 2 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
ESICE0o0o0o0xddc3…029c$534
NO74¢series09:48:08smart
win rate 57.6%lifetime +$178.8K
Match markets12 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
MARKandLARRY 0-2 Arcade Esports · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer