CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · THUNDER dOWNUNDER

Ground Zero0-2THUNDER dOWNUNDER

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs· Sep 25, 2026 · 09:00–10:30 UTC· 1h 30m· VOD on kick
Volume
$9.6K
Trades
234
Significant
1 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 29¢
Price path · full matchYES = Ground Zero · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢G1 · THUNDER dOWNUND…G1G2 · THUNDER dOWNUND…G20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 09:54SMART58%59% THUNDER dOWNU…09:0010:30 resolved
smart consensus leaned THUNDE from 09:04 at 75¢ · 58% → 59%
G1THUNDER dOWNUNDER23¢ → 7¢$31
G2THUNDER dOWNUNDER7¢ → 0.1¢$155
Biggest buyers of the winnerTHUNDER dOWNUNDER never traded below 67¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner4 wallets
1BaccaratRoulette0x59f4…c1f1retail+$234
$496 at 68¢· pre-match · 3h 30m before· win rate 41.1%
2Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail+$168
$326 at 66¢· pre-match · 3h 30m before· win rate 45.9%
3Unripe-Stench0x97f9…0aebretail+$124
$265 at 68¢· pre-match · 3h 30m before· win rate 51.4%
$110 at 75¢· pre-match · 21h 55m before· win rate 13.5%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 1 wallet bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($118 in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 57 wallets
Top winners
BaccaratRoulette0x59f4…c1f1retail+$234
Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail+$168
Unripe-Stench0x97f9…0aebretail+$124
polkals0xa3d0…ce14retail+$46
antec0x8935…7daaretail+$22
Top losers
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail−$267
ForAndWithYou0xc34b…9296retail−$61
Unusual-Metallurgist0xc925…6d24retail−$37
DegenAcc30x94d2…cfbdretail−$13
rocky420030x2e62…b22eretail−$9
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Flaky-Integer, Rev0lt3, humbleboy, solaenge +4
Smart consensus · at resolution30 wallets
59%NO THUNDER dOWNUNDER · the winner· from 58% at match start
YES capital
$2.4K
NO capital
$5.7K
Hedged
$3.4K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 1 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
solaenge0x4367…e904$519
NO68¢series08:14:25smart
win rate 56.0%lifetime +$8.0K
Match markets15 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
Ground Zero 0-2 THUNDER dOWNUNDER · ESL Challenger League · match recap | OrcaLayer