CS2ESL Challenger League · Group B · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · maybe

LPH Gaming0-2maybe

ESL Challenger League · Group B · Nov 12, 2026 · 14:35–16:16 UTC · 1h 41m · VOD on twitch
Volume
$55.9K
Trades
3,212
Significant
9 ≥ $500
Low · high
1¢ → 54¢
Price path · full matchYES = LPH Gaming · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢G1 · maybeG1G2 · maybeG23¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 16:16SMART100%90% maybe14:3516:16 resolved
smart consensus leaned maybe from G2 at 77¢ · 100% → 90%
G1maybe53¢ → 29¢$11.7K
G2maybe29¢ → 3¢$11.4K
Biggest buyers of the winnermaybe never traded below 44¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner15 wallets
1Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail+$99
$452 at 81¢· pre-match · 40m before· win rate 47.0%
$442 at 92¢· pre-match · 40m before· win rate 24.1%
3loganboy0x3e85…788bretail+$14
$434 at 92¢· G2 · 39:05· win rate 46.4%
4antec0x8935…7daaretail+$224
$419 at 64¢· pre-match · 2h 29m before· win rate 51.5%
53191133313131110x2b55…b98dsmart−$101
$264 at 73¢· G1 · 00:36· win rate 57.6%
6Thin-Miss0xd37d…c735smart+$46
$264 at 85¢· G2 · 25:47· win rate 77.2%
7Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail+$5
$196 at 92¢· G1 · 54:59· win rate 53.7%
8a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$17
$189 at 81¢· pre-match · 40m before· win rate 40.2%
9alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$24
$177 at 88¢· G2 · 38:25· win rate 44.9%
10cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$0
$139 at 92¢· G2 · 36:01· win rate 58.0%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 7 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($21.6K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 175 wallets
Top winners
antec0x8935…7daaretail+$224
0xa3ca…5466retail+$121
Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail+$99
CoinTrick0x731a…033fwhalefarmer+$59
dfdeath0x7c8c…2d81retail+$51
Top losers
6367630xfd14…2267retail−$250
Juvenile-Ego0x65e6…42dcretail−$128
3191133313131110x2b55…b98dsmart−$101
sameshi0xd4de…8efcretail−$100
Urban-Lumber0x5672…7312retail−$47
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): NotJump
Smart consensus · at resolution8 wallets
90%NO maybe · the winner
YES capital
$1.2K
NO capital
$2.5K
Hedged
$511
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 9 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Urajgwh0xc2b4…e84a$1.6K
sell NO50¢map 116:16:34retail
win rate 50.0%lifetime −$1.2K
Absolyutno-pohuy0xe3e4…8087$1.3K
YES48¢map 216:13:04retail
win rate 59.1%lifetime −$28.2K
Urajgwh0xc2b4…e84a$993
NO52¢map 116:08:34retail
win rate 50.0%lifetime −$1.2K
Darkfederer0xf95b…4b96$959
YES45¢map 115:26:08smart
win rate 71.4%lifetime +$9.0K
Thin-Miss0xd37d…c735$917
YES48¢map 116:08:34smart
win rate 77.2%lifetime +$21.0K
Urajgwh0xc2b4…e84a$700
NO51¢map 115:49:53retail
win rate 50.0%lifetime −$1.2K
Thin-Miss0xd37d…c735$614
sell YES50¢map 116:16:34smart
win rate 77.2%lifetime +$21.0K
6367630xfd14…2267$500
YES63¢map 114:41:46retail
win rate 37.8%lifetime −$15.8K
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