CS2Hotspawn Showdown · Group A · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · STATE

G2 Ares1-2STATE

Hotspawn Showdown · Group A· Sep 26, 2026 · 09:00–12:13 UTC· 3h 13m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$17.7K
Trades
658
Significant
3 ≥ $500
Low · high
0.1¢ → 81¢
Price path · full matchYES = G2 Ares · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · STATEG1G2 · G2 AresG2G3 · STATEG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 10:44SMART30%47% STATE09:0012:13 resolved
smart consensus 70% → 53% YES
G1STATE48¢ → 44¢$52
G2G2 Ares44¢ → 43¢$1
G3STATE43¢ → 1¢—
Who entered before the reversalSTATE last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 50:12 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L4 wallets
1cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$6
$228 at 71¢· G3 · 47:04· win rate 60.7%
2froglover0x6891…6bb9retail−$6
$116 at 68¢· G3 · 20:22· win rate 6.0%
3a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$21
$249 at 65¢· G3 · 22:16· win rate 26.2%
4poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot−$41
$318 at 70¢· G3 · 45:42· win rate 47.6%
Reversal = last time STATE traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 50:12). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 100 wallets
Top winners
coolz1220xbdd2…6657retail+$1.9K
xreborn0x5135…7217smart+$728
eggbrewer0xef30…e949smart+$105
Delicious-Illiteracy0x2e47…bdbfsmart+$103
edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bdretail+$94
Top losers
0x7b91…2a72retail−$161
feafar0xfd3e…feafretail−$98
Marvelous-Prow-Barstool0xf066…3349retail−$83
Jxtoas0xa9f5…937fretail−$45
poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot−$41
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): rockoncool, want4khere, drhouz, Dearest-Guide +4
Smart consensus · at resolution29 wallets
47%NO STATE · the winner· from 30% at match start
YES capital
$6.8K
NO capital
$10.1K
Hedged
$6.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 3 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6c$1.8K
sell NO53¢series08:30:54hedgersmart
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$1.46M
xreborn0x5135…7217$855
NO54¢series08:15:57smart
win rate 56.4%lifetime +$43.9K
Rash-Barometer0x29b5…cc6c$742
YES46¢series08:15:57hedgersmart
win rate 56.8%lifetime +$1.46M
Match markets14 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
G2 Ares 1-2 STATE · Hotspawn Showdown · match recap | OrcaLayer