CS2Stake Ranked · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · fnatic

fnatic2-0Just Players

Stake Ranked · Playoffs· Sep 24, 2026 · 12:00–13:38 UTC· 1h 38m· VOD on kick
Volume
$135.6K
Trades
1,841
Significant
36 ≥ $1,666
Low · high
70¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = fnatic · 1-min VWAP · rings = 4 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · fnaticG1G2 · fnaticG270¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 12:44$2.0K YES · insidiousidiot$1.6K YES · Dishonest-Faculty$1.2K YES · aaaa298$800 YES · Telepath-OneSMART65%92% fnatic12:0013:38 resolved
smart consensus leaned FNC from G1 at 84¢ · 65% → 92%
G1fnatic84¢ → 95¢$19.6K
G2fnatic95¢ → 99.9¢$22.8K
Biggest buyers of the winnerfnatic never traded below 70¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner11 wallets
1iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$213
$2.9K at 92¢· G1 · 28:00· win rate 58.9%
2RN10x2005…75eawhale−$358
$1.3K at 84¢· G1 · 23:33· win rate 52.4%
3Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$2
$628 at 80¢· G1 · 11:15· win rate 59.6%
4antec0x8935…7daaretail−$31
$608 at 85¢· pre-match · 6h 60m before· win rate 50.5%
5cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$66
$429 at 78¢· G1 · 23:33· win rate 60.2%
6HFT-PRO0xf1f2…8c8dretail+$52
$198 at 79¢· G1 · 23:34· win rate 49.3%
7phenompoker0xfbf3…70e3retail−$44
$150 at 81¢· pre-match · 1d 4h before· win rate 60.2%
8tiredofwinning2much0xcd4a…224eretail+$4
$140 at 85¢· G1 · 11:15· win rate 52.9%
$126 at 89¢· pre-match · 1h 5m before· win rate 13.5%
10138976510x3089…35e4smart−$3
$113 at 81¢· G1 · 07:12· win rate 57.1%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 1 wallet bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($159 in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 88 wallets
Top winners
iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$213
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$66
HFT-PRO0xf1f2…8c8dretail+$52
rocky420070x6b17…03b2retail+$13
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail+$11
Top losers
Donkoo0x72aa…90e0retail−$469
RN10x2005…75eawhale−$358
xreborn0x5135…7217smart−$240
VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294smart−$131
SnakeBall0xc291…5d74retail−$125
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aaaa298, chliu, Flat-Yeast, insidiousidiot +4
Smart consensus · at resolution35 wallets
92%YES fnatic · the winner· from 65% at match start
YES capital
$23.3K
NO capital
$4.5K
Hedged
$7.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 36 TRADES ≥ $1,666 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
wahdeeleowong0x786d…2d66$3.0K
YES89¢map 212:04:54retail
win rate 72.7%lifetime −$1.6K
ESICE0o0o0o0xddc3…029c$2.9K
YES59¢map 213:15:54smart
win rate 57.6%lifetime +$178.8K
123zxc0xef18…158b$2.4K
YES60¢handicap11:16:12retail
win rate 31.1%lifetime −$38.5K
insidiousidiot0xd88a…a7e4$2.0K
YES79¢series12:07:08retail
win rate 69.9%lifetime +$22.8K
ESICE0o0o0o0xddc3…029c$1.8K
YES62¢map 213:15:38smart
win rate 57.6%lifetime +$178.8K
itzlebrian0xee8e…0a7b$1.7K
YES80¢map 212:47:50retail
win rate 67.6%lifetime −$183.9K
Dishonest-Faculty0xe1b4…64d7$1.6K
sell YES86¢series13:16:11smart
win rate 60.0%lifetime +$1.4K
swy010xe3d4…2bac$1.4K
YES82¢map 213:30:12retail
win rate 61.8%lifetime −$312.8K
Match markets16 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
fnatic 2-0 Just Players · Stake Ranked · match recap | OrcaLayer