CS2Leon.bet Masters · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Fluxo W7M

Fluxo W7M2-0largadosypelados

Leon.bet Masters · Playoffs· Sep 26, 2026 · 10:10–11:53 UTC· 1h 43m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$49.9K
Trades
427
Significant
6 ≥ $3,446
Low · high
73¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Fluxo W7M · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · Fluxo W7MG1G2 · Fluxo W7MG273¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 10:57SMART86%90% Fluxo W7M10:1011:53 resolved
smart consensus leaned FXW from 10:04 at 75¢ · 86% → 90%
G1Fluxo W7M76¢ → 94¢$443
G2Fluxo W7M94¢ → 99.9¢$1.1K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN69¢ · $10.8K ask wall gone in 21s$4.7K eaten · $6.1K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Gooooooollllllllll+1 more on the same level· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· JohnLKellyJr $4.7K· 3 fills
Biggest buyers of the winnerFluxo W7M never traded below 67¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner6 wallets
1mimi1210x14af…ca2cwhale+$0
$5.7K at 70¢· pre-match · 2h 54m before· win rate 51.6%
2alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail−$330
$238 at 88¢· G2 · 09:20· win rate 44.6%
3ShopanKane0x8359…5944retail+$61
$192 at 76¢· G2 · 15:28· win rate 52.4%
4a55330x758d…5d9ebot+$8
$173 at 77¢· pre-match · 5h 9m before· win rate 26.2%
5cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$246
$162 at 79¢· G1 · 22:07· win rate 60.7%
6froglover0x6891…6bb9retail+$2
$114 at 76¢· pre-match · 5h 10m before· win rate 6.0%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 1 wallet bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($1.2K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 92 wallets
Top winners
ShopanKane0x8359…5944retail+$61
Aged-Blame0x8aa0…1160retail+$29
lomatic0x5c18…2f76retail+$12
DegenAcc30x94d2…cfbdretail+$12
Virtuous-Catalysis0xa951…8a2fretail+$11
Top losers
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail−$330
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail−$246
300PS0x8f41…260eretail−$231
polkals0xa3d0…ce14retail−$203
387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5retail−$139
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): JohnLKellyJr, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing, 0x81d1…4806, Donkoo +4
Smart consensus · at resolution19 wallets
90%YES Fluxo W7M · the winner· from 86% at match start
YES capital
$35.6K
NO capital
$10.1K
Hedged
$23.3K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 6 TRADES ≥ $3,446 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$5.9K
YES69¢series08:55:39smart
win rate 58.0%lifetime +$203.0K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$4.7K
YES69¢series08:56:00smart
win rate 58.0%lifetime +$203.0K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$3.5K
YES70¢series09:50:11smart
win rate 58.0%lifetime +$203.0K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$3.4K
YES73¢series09:54:50smart
win rate 58.0%lifetime +$203.0K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$2.7K
YES70¢series09:54:21smart
win rate 58.0%lifetime +$203.0K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$515
YES67¢map 209:50:13smart
win rate 58.0%lifetime +$203.0K
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Fluxo W7M 2-0 largadosypelados · Leon.bet Masters · match recap | OrcaLayer