CS2ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Alliance

ex-INOX Division0-2Alliance

ESL Challenger League · Playoffs · Nov 14, 2026 · 14:00–16:26 UTC · 2h 26m · VOD on kick

Volume

$214.2K

Trades

4,003

Significant

32 ≥ $605

Low · high

0.1¢ → 42¢

Price path · full matchYES = ex-INOX Division · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided

smart consensus 90% → 80% YES

MapWinnerDurationPrice · start → endMap volumeTradesSignificant

G1Alliance35¢ → 16¢$20.5K

G1Alliance56m 19s · 14:08–15:0535¢ → 16¢ −20¢$20.5K1,0648

G2Alliance16¢ → 0.3¢$34.5K

G2Alliance1h 21m · 15:05–16:2616¢ → 0.3¢ −15¢$34.5K1,69015

Earliest big buyersfirst Alliance buy ≥ $1K · by time10 wallets

#WalletAvg entrySize · enteredRealized P&LWin rate

1lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770whale+$18.4K

$31.6K at 63¢· pre-match · 5h 9m before· win rate 54.0%

1lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770whale63¢$31.6K pre-match · 5h 9m before+$18.4K54.0%

2antec0x8935…7daaretail+$312

$4.9K at 79¢· pre-match · 3h 34m before· win rate 51.5%

2antec0x8935…7daaretail79¢$4.9K pre-match · 3h 34m before+$31251.5%

30x6891…6bb9bot−$38

$1.4K at 71¢· pre-match · 3h 34m before· win rate 24.4%

30x6891…6bb9bot71¢$1.4K pre-match · 3h 34m before−$3824.4%

4rookiaski0x1648…e4cfretail+$780

$1.3K at 62¢· pre-match · 3h 10m before· win rate 50.0%

4rookiaski0x1648…e4cfretail62¢$1.3K pre-match · 3h 10m before+$78050.0%

5Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart−$21

$1.0K at 77¢· G1 · 00:31· win rate 63.8%

5Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmart77¢$1.0K G1 · 00:31−$2163.8%

63191133313131110x2b55…b98dsmart+$348

$1.4K at 74¢· G1 · 03:30· win rate 57.3%

63191133313131110x2b55…b98dsmart74¢$1.4K G1 · 03:30+$34857.3%

7cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$67

$1.4K at 94¢· G1 · 40:54· win rate 58.0%

7cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail94¢$1.4K G1 · 40:54+$6758.0%

8neutralwave230x5b63…11a4retail+$34

$1.3K at 91¢· G2 · 46:09· win rate 46.0%

8neutralwave230x5b63…11a4retail91¢$1.3K G2 · 46:09+$3446.0%

9Medussoth0x5e66…f899farmer+$3

$3.2K at 99.9¢· G2 · 81:26· win rate 99.9%

9Medussoth0x5e66…f899farmer99.9¢$3.2K G2 · 81:26+$399.9%

10pvc9750xa16a…33a1whalefarmer+$4

$4.5K at 99.9¢· G2 · 96:08· win rate 97.5%

10pvc9750xa16a…33a1whalefarmer99.9¢$4.5K G2 · 96:08+$497.5%

Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results

Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 382 wallets

Top winners

lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770whale+$18.4K

rookiaski0x1648…e4cfretail+$780

SBA6660x8a90…7e68smart+$492

nobody2somebody0x8adb…e4f6retail+$471

3191133313131110x2b55…b98dsmart+$348

Top losers

Stiff-Desktop0xc9bf…81c0smart−$18.1K

fRibrenlc0x6f3e…bcf8retail−$1.3K

topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95bot−$569

ForAndWithYou0xc34b…9296retail−$400

xreborn0x5135…7217smart−$395

mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): 0x54ec…73e4

Smart consensus · at resolution34 wallets

20%NO Alliance · the winner· from 10% at match start

YES capital

$31.3K

NO capital

$66.0K

Hedged

$24.8K

Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 32 TRADES ≥ $605 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST

TimeMarketSizeSidePriceWalletLabelsWin rateLifetime P&L

Stiff-Desktop0xc9bf…81c0$6.2K

YES38¢series13:22:34smart

win rate 56.7%lifetime +$623.9K

13:22:34series$6.2KYES38¢Stiff-Desktop0xc9bf…81c0smart56.7%+$623.9K

Stiff-Desktop0xc9bf…81c0$2.6K

YES38¢series13:07:33smart

win rate 56.7%lifetime +$623.9K

13:07:33series$2.6KYES38¢Stiff-Desktop0xc9bf…81c0smart56.7%+$623.9K

lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$2.3K

NO62¢series13:02:55whale

win rate 54.0%lifetime −$78.2K

13:02:55series$2.3KNO62¢lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770whale54.0%−$78.2K

45hfgh56uj5j7o0x5498…126f$2.0K

NO95¢map 216:25:28smart

win rate 94.2%lifetime +$6.7K

16:25:28map 2$2.0KNO95¢45hfgh56uj5j7o0x5498…126fsmart94.2%+$6.7K

Stiff-Desktop0xc9bf…81c0$1.4K

YES38¢series13:02:55smart

win rate 56.7%lifetime +$623.9K

13:02:55series$1.4KYES38¢Stiff-Desktop0xc9bf…81c0smart56.7%+$623.9K

Anson410x44cc…038d$1.1K

sell NO76¢map 216:23:54smart

win rate 57.5%lifetime +$8.1K

16:23:54map 2$1.1Ksell NO76¢Anson410x44cc…038dsmart57.5%+$8.1K

Anson410x44cc…038d$1.0K

NO78¢map 216:11:29smart

win rate 57.5%lifetime +$8.1K

16:11:29map 2$1.0KNO78¢Anson410x44cc…038dsmart57.5%+$8.1K

teteulovespedin0x3a9d…9805$1.0K

YES56¢map 216:02:59retail

win rate 55.7%lifetime +$4.5K

16:02:59map 2$1.0KYES56¢teteulovespedin0x3a9d…9805retail55.7%+$4.5K

More from this tournamentESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 2026 →

Playoffs · Nov 14, 2026

ex-INOX Division vs maybe

INOX 50¢$0 pre-match

Playoffs · Nov 14, 2026

Alliance vs Noir Verse

ALL 71¢$0 pre-match

Playoffs · Nov 13, 2026

KUUSAMO.gg vs maybe

MAYBE 2-1$21.8K

Playoffs · Nov 13, 2026

Lavked vs Alliance

ALL 2-0$12.9K

Match markets6 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS

seriesCounter-Strike: ex-INOX Division vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$110.9Kclosed map 1Counter-Strike: ex-INOX Division vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$39.1Kclosed map 2Counter-Strike: ex-INOX Division vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$64.7Kclosed series totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$304closed series handicapMap Handicap: ex-INOX (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)13¢ / 88¢$0closed series handicapMap Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs ex-INOX Division (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$132closed