Ducks2-1DNK
Exort Fiesta · Group D · Nov 12, 2026 · 10:10–12:29 UTC · 2h 19m · VOD on kick
Volume
$72.2K
Trades
1,967
Significant
11 ≥ $502
Low · high
32¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Ducks · 1-min VWAP · rings = 0 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
smart consensus leaned Ducks from 09:02 at 41¢ · 97% → 95%
MapWinnerDurationPrice · start → endMap volumeTradesSignificant
G1DNK48¢ → 38¢$640
G1DNK24m 20s · 10:10–10:3548¢ → 38¢ −10¢$640890
G2Ducks38¢ → 75¢$226
G2Ducks48m 42s · 10:35–11:2438¢ → 75¢ +37¢$226590
G3Ducks75¢ → 99.9¢no map market
G3Ducks1h 05m · 11:24–12:2975¢ → 99.9¢ +25¢no Map 3 market on Polymarket
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first1
WALL EATEN50¢ · $14.6K bid wall gone instantly$10.7K eaten · $3.8K pulledseries
Who entered before the reversalDucks last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 51:49 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L9 wallets
#WalletAvg entrySize · enteredRealized P&LWin rate
$2.3K at 47¢· G1 · 08:57· win rate 83.3%
$295 at 39¢· G2 · 09:38· win rate 61.5%
$1.5K at 60¢· pre-match · 46m before· win rate 40.2%
$100 at 58¢· pre-match · 39m before· win rate 41.2%
$105 at 59¢· G1 · 20:10· win rate 41.0%
$466 at 63¢· G1 · 10:40· win rate 53.7%
$104 at 58¢· G1 · 18:28· win rate 44.7%
$185 at 57¢· pre-match · 39m before· win rate 53.5%
$104 at 64¢· G2 · 04:36· win rate 55.5%
Reversal = last time Ducks traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 51:49). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 309 wallets
Top winners
whitelordBack0xa316…deb4smart+$15.0K
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563whale+$2.9K
AvengerPiglets0x347d…8165smart+$2.6K
Liquidifier0x4818…bf0bsmart+$1.1K
legitgame0x984f…9a43smart+$305
Top losers
0xea29…71ecretail−$13.4K
0xa97b…ec07retail−$3.3K
6367630xfd14…2267retail−$745
0x5343…c27aretail−$470
0xa07d…87f6retail−$439
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): 0x54ec…73e4, NotJump
Smart consensus · at resolution32 wallets
95%YES Ducks · the winner· from 97% at match start
YES capital
$38.4K
NO capital
$32.4K
Hedged
$24.1K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 11 TRADES ≥ $502 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
More from this tournamentExort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 2026 →
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