CS2NODWIN Clutch Series · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Butterfly

Butterfly2-1ex-RUSTEC

NODWIN Clutch Series · Group Stage· Oct 18, 2026 · 08:20–11:26 UTC· 3h 06m· VOD on kick
Volume
$47.2K
Trades
1,795
Significant
10 ≥ $500
Low · high
12¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = Butterfly · 1-min VWAP · rings = 4 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · ex-RUSTECG1G2 · ButterflyG2G3 · ButterflyG312¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 11:14$1.4K NO · JohnLKellyJr$586 YES · PDWA$582 YES · Kaczka$550 YES · pollo200000SMART0%86% Butterfly08:2011:26 resolved
smart consensus leaned BTF from G3 at 80¢ · 0% → 86%
G1ex-RUSTEC42¢ → 26¢$958
G2Butterfly26¢ → 46¢$6.7K
G3Butterfly46¢ → 99.9¢—
Who entered before the reversalButterfly last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 64:51 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L11 wallets
1Near-Rubbish0x299f…2c50retail+$260
$130 at 36¢· G2 · 23:44· win rate 46.6%
2cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$224
$122 at 31¢· G2 · 45:21· win rate 59.5%
3Long-Term-Tonality0x5c6d…ab76retail+$179
$110 at 38¢· pre-match · 43m before· win rate 52.2%
4antec0x8935…7daaretail+$108
$128 at 30¢· G1 · 28:25· win rate 50.6%
$954 at 65¢· pre-match · 4h 59m before· win rate 18.5%
6poshposh0xc4fe…601fbot+$24
$127 at 47¢· G2 · 45:21· win rate 47.4%
7topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$1
$451 at 53¢· G1 · 47:04· win rate 41.2%
8Sweaty-Wasabi0xaeb9…59f9retail−$1
$338 at 69¢· pre-match · 14m before· win rate 53.4%
9zxcursed1210x945a…a48cbot−$2
$269 at 58¢· G1 · 28:25· win rate 43.4%
10Colala0x9cb3…1367smart−$15
$106 at 78¢· G1 · 47:04· win rate 55.7%
Reversal = last time Butterfly traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 64:51). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 123 wallets
Top winners
Near-Rubbish0x299f…2c50retail+$260
cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$224
Long-Term-Tonality0x5c6d…ab76retail+$179
amznputs0xce42…9090retail+$120
antec0x8935…7daaretail+$108
Top losers
KENSi3220x7460…de6eretail−$1.4K
demo2580xeebb…0b96retail−$267
Rabockauz0xf09b…f6fasmart−$100
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail−$78
walnutz0x3211…9ee3retail−$64
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Kaczka, dotalka123, JohnLKellyJr, pollo200000 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution23 wallets
86%YES Butterfly · the winner· from 0% at match start
YES capital
$20.5K
NO capital
$9.9K
Hedged
$2.6K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 10 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$1.4K
sell NO54¢series08:23:22smart
win rate 57.6%lifetime +$615.7K
PDWA0x24c6…cbb9$586
sell YES90¢series11:07:10retail
win rate 40.6%lifetime −$89.3K
Kaczka0x067a…1aea$582
YES59¢series08:33:35retail
win rate 54.1%lifetime +$6.0K
JohnLKellyJr0xddc3…029c$559
NO50¢map 210:12:18smart
win rate 57.6%lifetime +$615.7K
anyjezz0xd055…28d0$559
YES50¢map 210:12:18retail
win rate 49.8%lifetime +$109.3K
pollo2000000x6ec5…465a$550
YES90¢series11:02:35retail
win rate 49.9%lifetime −$48.7K
More from this tournamentNODWIN Clutch Series 2026 Season →
Match markets26 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage100¢ / 0¢$35.8Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$2.1Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$13.5Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$187closedseries handicapMap Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5)34¢ / 66¢$0closedseries handicapMap Handicap: BTF (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$16closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.59¢ / 91¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$312closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$4closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs Butterfly (+3.5)50¢ / 51¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-6.5) vs Butterfly (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-6.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5)27¢ / 74¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs Butterfly (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-6.5) vs Butterfly (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs Butterfly (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-6.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-9.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed