CS2StarLadder StarSeries · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Aurora Gaming

Aurora Gaming2-1Vitality

StarLadder StarSeries · Playoffs· Sep 19, 2026 · 15:30–18:18 UTC· 2h 48m· VOD on kick

Volume

$1.9M

Trades

6,450

Significant

118 ≥ $3,513

Low · high

16¢ → 74¢

Price path · full matchYES = Aurora Gaming · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ring

smart consensus 8% → 37% YES

MapWinnerDurationPrice · start → endMap volumeTradesSignificant

G1Aurora Gaming24¢ → 49¢$194.1K

G1Aurora Gaming43m 49s · 15:25–16:0924¢ → 49¢ +25¢$194.1K1,49134

G2Vitality49¢ → 35¢$185.6K

G2Vitality1h 10m · 16:09–17:1949¢ → 35¢ −14¢$185.6K2,05446

G3Aurora Gaming35¢ → 35¢—

G3Aurora Gaming58m 59s · 17:19–18:1835¢ → 35¢ +0¢———

Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first14

WALL EATEN23¢ · $41.8K bid wall gone in 22s$15.4K eaten · $26.1K pulledseries

Maker revealed by fills:Vetchsmart+30 more on the same level· 25% of the wall was theirs

TAKERS· retordedgremlin125 $14.9K· insidiousidiot $491· +4 more· 44 fills

WALL EATEN95¢ · $28.1K ask wall gone in 15s$18.2K eaten · $8.8K pulledmap 1

Maker revealed by fills:1117gudu231· 100% of the wall was theirs

TAKERS· aaaa298 $17.6K· zerozaky $467· +3 more· 6 fills

WALL EATEN25¢ · $26.0K ask wall gone instantly$36.0K eatenseries

Maker revealed by fills:0xc9ae…b9e0· 100% of the wall was theirs

TAKERS· HMLSF $36.0K· 1 fill

WALL EATEN48¢ · $23.0K bid wall gone in 53s$8.3K eaten · $9.8K pulled · $4.8K still thereseries

Maker revealed by fills:THEHIGHLIFEsmart+1 more on the same level· 78% of the wall was theirs

TAKERS· ifpl $7.2K· benbenfox $706· +9 more· 15 fills

WALL EATEN32¢ · $19.4K bid wall gone in 3s$9.3K eaten · $9.7K pulledmap 2

Maker revealed by fills:MaoZeDonK+6 more on the same level· 52% of the wall was theirs

TAKERS· 3648393489047 $9.3K· +1 more· 10 fills

WALL EATEN24¢ · $17.8K ask wall gone in 52s$13.7K eaten · $4.1K pulledseries

Maker revealed by fills:DumplingBMFsmart· 100% of the wall was theirs

TAKERS· CORGI8 $12.7K· csgod $890· +3 more· 7 fills

Who entered before the reversalAurora Gaming last traded ≤ 40¢ at G2 · 51:26 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L47 wallets

#WalletAvg entrySize · enteredRealized P&LWin rate

1dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43smartwhale+$22.1K

$9.4K at 27¢· pre-match · 3h 8m before· win rate 63.3%

1dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43smartwhale27¢$9.4K pre-match · 3h 8m before+$22.1K63.3%

20xbb29…947aretail+$19.3K

$5.8K at 23¢· pre-match · 18h 33m before· win rate 49.9%

20xbb29…947aretail23¢$5.8K pre-match · 18h 33m before+$19.3K49.9%

3Vetch0x9c82…1f13smart+$16.2K

$4.8K at 23¢· pre-match · 19m before· win rate 59.9%

3Vetch0x9c82…1f13smart23¢$4.8K pre-match · 19m before+$16.2K59.9%

4pravica0x5c72…7e7eretail+$14.0K

$4.2K at 23¢· pre-match · 20m before· win rate 45.2%

4pravica0x5c72…7e7eretail23¢$4.2K pre-match · 20m before+$14.0K45.2%

5bit7540x6d1e…2c7eretail+$9.3K

$5.2K at 24¢· pre-match · 13h 6m before· win rate 41.7%

5bit7540x6d1e…2c7eretail24¢$5.2K pre-match · 13h 6m before+$9.3K41.7%

6kingflop0xe954…1ef1retail+$9.3K

$2.9K at 24¢· pre-match · 2h 57m before· win rate 49.1%

6kingflop0xe954…1ef1retail24¢$2.9K pre-match · 2h 57m before+$9.3K49.1%

7bzzzzzz.eth0x3e72…1267retail+$7.1K

$2.1K at 23¢· pre-match · 26m before· win rate 43.2%

7bzzzzzz.eth0x3e72…1267retail23¢$2.1K pre-match · 26m before+$7.1K43.2%

8Understandable980x7124…cc9cretail+$5.3K

$2.2K at 29¢· G1 · 20:06· win rate 45.8%

8Understandable980x7124…cc9cretail29¢$2.2K G1 · 20:06+$5.3K45.8%

9iii2520xed44…4f76smart+$5.2K

$6.8K at 39¢· G1 · 04:27· win rate 58.8%

9iii2520xed44…4f76smart39¢$6.8K G1 · 04:27+$5.2K58.8%

10BlessedKaladin0x7645…3117retail+$4.4K

$2.6K at 37¢· pre-match · 19m before· win rate 49.4%

10BlessedKaladin0x7645…3117retail37¢$2.6K pre-match · 19m before+$4.4K49.4%

Reversal = last time Aurora Gaming traded ≤ 40¢ (G2 · 51:26). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results

Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 304 wallets

Top winners

dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43smartwhale+$22.1K

0xbb29…947aretail+$19.3K

Vetch0x9c82…1f13smart+$16.2K

pravica0x5c72…7e7eretail+$14.0K

bit7540x6d1e…2c7eretail+$9.3K

Top losers

Ancient-Strike0xc9ae…b9e0smartwhale−$60.0K

DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1smart−$15.2K

madkkee0xd27c…c081retail−$10.6K

itzlebrian0xee8e…0a7bretail−$8.1K

JustADonk0x01e6…e7e0smart−$7.5K

mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): RN1, volaX, amend, DarkzaoGod +4

Smart consensus · at resolution194 wallets

37%YES Aurora Gaming · the winner· from 8% at match start

YES capital

$297.9K

NO capital

$561.5K

Hedged

$210.9K

Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 118 TRADES ≥ $3,513 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST

TimeMarketSizeSidePriceWalletLabelsWin rateLifetime P&L

retordedgremlin1250xf0b6…2fef$50.0K

NO77¢series15:11:24smartwhale

win rate 66.4%lifetime +$104.6K

15:11:24series$50.0KNO77¢retordedgremlin1250xf0b6…2fefsmartwhale66.4%+$104.6K

HMLSF0x1610…ae49$36.0K

sell NO75¢series15:22:27whale

win rate 49.8%lifetime +$1.06M

15:22:27series$36.0Ksell NO75¢HMLSF0x1610…ae49whale49.8%+$1.06M

CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$24.0K

sell NO75¢series15:22:08whale

win rate 42.3%lifetime +$366.8K

15:22:08series$24.0Ksell NO75¢CORGI80x79ae…9a4awhale42.3%+$366.8K

36483934890470x67ac…edf1$18.2K

NO68¢map 216:16:30smartwhale

win rate 65.5%lifetime +$81.3K

16:16:30map 2$18.2KNO68¢36483934890470x67ac…edf1smartwhale65.5%+$81.3K

CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$17.6K

YES24¢series15:19:46whale

win rate 42.3%lifetime +$366.8K

15:19:46series$17.6KYES24¢CORGI80x79ae…9a4awhale42.3%+$366.8K

jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2$12.3K

NO77¢series15:13:37whale

win rate 42.4%lifetime +$1.96M

15:13:37series$12.3KNO77¢jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2whale42.4%+$1.96M

jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2$11.7K

NO52¢series16:15:36whale

win rate 42.4%lifetime +$1.96M

16:15:36series$11.7KNO52¢jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2whale42.4%+$1.96M

1117gudu2310x0562…18a4$10.6K

NO51¢series16:09:22retail

win rate 44.5%lifetime −$59.0K

16:09:22series$10.6KNO51¢1117gudu2310x0562…18a4retail44.5%−$59.0K

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