Astralis1-2Alliance
Volume
$1.2M
Trades
8,465
Significant
54 ≥ $1,955
Low · high
0.1¢ → 79¢
Price path · full matchYES = Astralis · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
smart consensus 98% → 81% YES
MapWinnerDurationPrice · start → endMap volumeTradesSignificant
G1Alliance61¢ → 40¢$194.8K
G1Alliance1h 10m · 15:27–16:3761¢ → 40¢ −21¢$194.8K2,69529
G2Astralis40¢ → 66¢$56.5K
G2Astralis51m 20s · 16:37–17:2940¢ → 66¢ +26¢$56.5K6178
G3Alliance66¢ → 1¢—
G3Alliance1h 35m · 17:29–19:0566¢ → 1¢ −65¢———
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first2
WALL EATEN61¢ · $32.8K bid wall gone in 22s$16.4K eaten · $16.4K pulledseries
WALL EATEN59¢ · $11.9K ask wall gone in 5s$4.1K eaten · $7.8K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:WARNINGWARNINGWARNINGwhale+3 more on the same level· 98% of the wall was theirs
Who entered before the reversalAlliance last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 80:36 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L36 wallets
#WalletAvg entrySize · enteredRealized P&LWin rate
$2.5K at 34¢· G1 · 29:56· win rate 44.6%
$8.9K at 50¢· G1 · 05:48· win rate 87.9%
$908 at 33¢· G3 · 11:43· win rate 31.4%
$905 at 38¢· pre-match · 2d 2h before· win rate 55.6%
$1.1K at 37¢· G1 · 03:54· win rate 51.4%
$13.4K at 49¢· G1 · 10:38· win rate 59.0%
$450 at 36¢· G3 · 04:48· win rate 34.0%
$1.1K at 57¢· G3 · 05:06· win rate 51.2%
$716 at 43¢· G1 · 29:54· win rate 44.9%
$195 at 39¢· G1 · 00:35· win rate 58.1%
Reversal = last time Alliance traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 80:36). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 194 wallets
Top winners
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99retail+$4.0K
monolog0xf3f6…6f83retail+$2.8K
Gooooooollllllllll0xda3a…381fretail+$2.0K
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail+$1.8K
humbleboy0x4b59…3aa6smart+$1.5K
Top losers
Xyp9xFan0x2418…66c8smart−$11.4K
darkumbreon880x0235…cee5retail−$7.9K
TrippleEX0x994e…6136retail−$6.2K
9999996665443325788556677880x85fb…89baretail−$5.6K
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart−$5.5K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): aaaa298, BACKTESTEOCARAIO1, suntori, ameisgoat11 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution129 wallets
19%NO Alliance · the winner· from 2% at match start
YES capital
$360.2K
NO capital
$269.7K
Hedged
$94.7K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 54 TRADES ≥ $1,955 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
More from this tournamentStake Ranked Episode 4 2026 Playoffs →
Match markets27 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$699.1Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$332.8Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$103.8Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$1.6Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$31.6Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$70closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$176closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100¢ / 0¢$3closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50¢ / 100¢$16closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$236closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$323closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$118closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)100¢ / 0¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)0¢ / 100¢$0closed