CS2Thunderpick World Championship · Group A · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Team Falcons

9z1-2Team Falcons

Thunderpick World Championship · Group A· Oct 15, 2026 · 11:30–14:28 UTC· 2h 58m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$1.8M
Trades
11,313
Significant
94 ≥ $2,696
Low · high
0.1¢ → 32¢
Price path · full matchYES = 9z · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢G1 · Team FalconsG1G2 · 9zG2G3 · Team FalconsG30¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 14:05$27.3K NO · hurrican$12.3K NO · 1337zzz1337$11.1K NO · JustADonk$10.0K NO · darkmarketmaker$7.0K NO · fkigedgjdgwbg$6.2K YES · CORGI8SMART98%94% Team Falcons11:3014:28 resolved
smart consensus leaned FAL from G1 at 77¢ · 98% → 94%
G1Team Falcons23¢ → 9¢$161.6K
G29z9¢ → 29¢$219.4K
G3Team Falcons29¢ → 0.1¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first3
WALL EATEN56¢ · $17.4K ask wall gone in 5s$6.2K eaten · $6.8K pulled · $4.4K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:Big-Hearted-Loggia+9 more on the same level· 65% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· cruzNBA $6.2K· 13 fills
WALL EATEN84¢ · $12.4K bid wall gone instantly$7.2K eaten · $5.0K pulledmap 2
Maker revealed by fills:calculate10hedger+7 more on the same level· 81% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Harmless-Fatigues $7.2K· 11 fills
WALL EATEN90¢ · $12.1K ask wall gone in 8s$6.2K eaten · $4.4K pulled · $1.5K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:calculate10hedger+18 more on the same level· 90% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Faint-Bush $6.1K· +5 more· 32 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Team Falcons buy ≥ $1K · by time32 wallets
1a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$38
$8.1K at 89¢· pre-match · 18h 15m before· win rate 35.4%
$3.5K at 87¢· pre-match · 17h 15m before· win rate 17.5%
3tankfest20270x4d6e…5cfdretail+$5.0K
$15.0K at 75¢· pre-match · 11h 5m before· win rate 45.6%
4lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770whale+$12.0K
$38.0K at 76¢· pre-match · 6h 9m before· win rate 55.4%
5Exhausted-Credential0xfd96…e623smart+$550
$1.4K at 73¢· pre-match · 1h 54m before· win rate 58.0%
6antec0x8935…7daaretail+$280
$7.3K at 78¢· pre-match · 1h 50m before· win rate 50.6%
7protonos0x10c0…4b97retail+$825
$4.2K at 76¢· pre-match · 1h 36m before· win rate 47.6%
8monkeyfish690xac75…1319retail+$2.5K
$7.5K at 75¢· pre-match · 26m before· win rate 50.1%
9Irresponsible-Autumn0xd9e0…05f2smart+$43
$6.4K at 85¢· pre-match· win rate 59.4%
10Neat-Robot0xa3c2…df3dbot−$5
$1.6K at 85¢· G1 · 02:16· win rate 57.9%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 320 wallets
Top winners
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770whale+$12.0K
tankfest20270x4d6e…5cfdretail+$5.0K
monkeyfish690xac75…1319retail+$2.5K
tabelniy0x5045…914aretail+$1.5K
Temposi0x5849…9fe1smart+$1.5K
Top losers
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$2.7K
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail−$1.8K
dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43smartwhale−$1.6K
calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail−$1.4K
Muddy-Noodles0x4de7…1982retail−$998
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): testBruno2, Lakersfan111, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing, redvinny +4
Smart consensus · at resolution199 wallets
94%NO Team Falcons · the winner· from 98% at match start
YES capital
$173.1K
NO capital
$686.4K
Hedged
$96.6K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 94 TRADES ≥ $2,696 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
hurrican0x8718…5040$27.3K
NO85¢series11:37:25retail
win rate 70.7%lifetime −$47.2K
1337zzz13370x7972…594f$12.3K
NO76¢series11:26:52retail
win rate 52.4%lifetime +$2.8K
JustADonk0x01e6…e7e0$11.1K
NO76¢series11:26:13retail
win rate 56.6%lifetime +$121.3K
darkmarketmaker0x3746…c193$10.0K
NO88¢series12:12:32smart
win rate 68.3%lifetime +$102.6K
fraagen0x90c7…2934$9.9K
NO76¢series11:10:40retail
win rate 48.5%lifetime −$155.3K
Kkunn0xe787…5034$8.9K
sell NO75¢series11:04:17whale
win rate 40.9%lifetime +$442.0K
kid8170xb132…6b5e$7.6K
sell NO50¢map 213:08:27retail
win rate 52.7%lifetime −$252.6K
fkigedgjdgwbg0x52ec…a6f3$7.0K
NO70¢series13:34:17smart
win rate 58.7%lifetime +$431.5K
Match markets25 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A0¢ / 100¢$1.0Mclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$310.5Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$408.7Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$5.3Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$77.0Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)— / —$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$367closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.514¢ / 87¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$481closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50¢ / 100¢$44closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100¢ / 0¢$248closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$908closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.59¢ / 91¢$4closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.510¢ / 91¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$996closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-9.5) vs 9z (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$2.9Kclosedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$304closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$7.6Kclosedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-9.5) vs 9z (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed
9z 1-2 Team Falcons · Thunderpick World Championship · match recap | OrcaLayer