100 Thieves1-0Nordic Partners Gaming
ROG Journey · Group A · Oct 2, 2026 · 14:20–14:50 UTC · 30m 52s · VOD on twitch
Volume
$6.3K
Trades
108
Significant
3 ≥ $500
Low · high
84¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = 100 Thieves · 1-min VWAP · rings = 2 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
smart consensus leaned 100 Thieves from 14:02 at 80¢ · 100% → 100%
MapWinnerDurationPrice · start → endMap volumeTradesSignificant
G1100 Thieves96¢ → 99.9¢no map market
G1100 Thieves27m 27s · 14:23–14:5096¢ → 99.9¢ +4¢no Map 1 market on Polymarket
Biggest buyers of the winner100 Thieves never traded below 76¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner5 wallets
#WalletAvg entrySize · enteredRealized P&LWin rate
$1.6K at 86¢· pre-match· win rate 51.2%
$702 at 78¢· pre-match · 32m before· win rate 66.1%
$514 at 84¢· pre-match· win rate 55.0%
$352 at 82¢· pre-match · 7m before· win rate 72.9%
$321 at 78¢· pre-match · 23m before· win rate 48.0%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 3 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($815 in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 91 wallets
Top winners
RN10x2005…75earetail+$278
hasobidale0x8be4…a700smart+$198
galaktika1230x8ab9…d821retail+$99
milliarder0xa76a…8679retail+$91
MoneyForNothing0xec36…78bbsmart+$36
Top losers
SimpleTony0x52b7…0aa1retail−$712
hegoham690x7699…2ef6retail−$50
lbtrading0xa6db…3155retail−$7
headach30xde53…e5beretail−$7
BACKTESTEOCARAIO10x7d67…5f14smart−$6
Smart consensus · at resolution12 wallets
100%YES 100 Thieves · the winner· from 100% at match start
YES capital
$5.7K
NO capital
$863
Hedged
$1.3K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 3 TRADES ≥ $500 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
More from this tournamentROG Journey 2026 →
Match markets3 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS