CS2ROG Journey · Group B · BO1View on Polymarket RESOLVED · NIP

NIP1-0HAVU

ROG Journey · Group B· Oct 2, 2026 · 14:25–15:22 UTC· 57m 47s· VOD on twitch
Volume
$28.3K
Trades
398
Significant
5 ≥ $989
Low · high
56¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = NIP · 1-min VWAP · rings = 1 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢G1 · NIPG156¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 15:20$989 YES · RN1SMART21%56% NIP14:2515:22 resolved
smart consensus leaned NIP from G1 at 94¢ · 21% → 56%
G1NIP84¢ → 99.9¢—
Biggest buyers of the winnerNIP never traded below 54¢ — it was the favourite, so there was no reversal to catch · sorted by size on the winner13 wallets
1galaktika1230x8ab9…d821retail+$165
$4.8K at 82¢· pre-match · 7h 40m before· win rate 53.6%
2no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864whale+$425
$1.9K at 82¢· pre-match · 11h 59m before· win rate 47.5%
3diceking0x3db4…d69bsmart+$675
$825 at 55¢· G1 · 33:07· win rate 59.9%
4kingsirpredictionconnoisseur0x2d40…ec52smart+$126
$574 at 82¢· pre-match · 4h 58m before· win rate 55.3%
5Cwy000000xc548…8e4eretail−$156
$503 at 82¢· pre-match · 11m before· win rate 60.7%
6babyloncmg0x9942…5c84retail+$179
$420 at 70¢· G1 · 15:21· win rate 55.5%
7cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$88
$312 at 78¢· G1 · 43:53· win rate 59.7%
8BookWarrior0x2e3c…08basmart+$39
$263 at 68¢· G1 · 31:45· win rate 56.0%
9phenompoker0xfbf3…70e3retail+$51
$249 at 83¢· pre-match · 7h 54m before· win rate 60.3%
10lbtrading0xa6db…3155retail−$3
$246 at 82¢· pre-match · 7h 54m before· win rate 43.9%
Entered = their first buy of the winner; size and average entry cover the whole position, from $100. 2 wallets bought the winner only at ≥ 95¢ ($1.3K in total) — priced as decided, not a bet on the team, so they are counted here and not listed. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 104 wallets
Top winners
diceking0x3db4…d69bsmart+$675
no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864whale+$425
babyloncmg0x9942…5c84retail+$179
galaktika1230x8ab9…d821retail+$165
kingsirpredictionconnoisseur0x2d40…ec52smart+$126
Top losers
Cwy000000xc548…8e4eretail−$156
Specific-Pear-Whirlwind0x7091…96f8retail−$57
antec0x8935…7daaretail−$50
Elderly-Soprano0x0a7c…8964retail−$13
Gaditima0x7e59…7b8bretail−$9
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): BACKTESTEOCARAIO1, kozelblack, RN1, 0xcc5b…49c9 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution23 wallets
56%YES NIP · the winner· from 21% at match start
YES capital
$25.8K
NO capital
$4.8K
Hedged
$4.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 5 TRADES ≥ $989 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
RN10x2005…75ea$989
YES86¢series14:34:01whale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.02M
RN10x2005…75ea$989
YES86¢series14:34:00whale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.02M
RN10x2005…75ea$989
YES86¢series14:33:57whale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.02M
RN10x2005…75ea$568
YES86¢series14:34:03whale
win rate 52.5%lifetime +$12.02M
Cwy000000xc548…8e4e$503
YES82¢series14:13:50retail
win rate 47.8%lifetime −$1.8K
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