WeatherZhengzhou
Zhengzhou Temperature Markets on Polymarket
0 live eventsPEAK 9-16 · PASSED · NIGHT MAX 11%18:23 LOCAL · 2026-10-22
CONDITIONS · METAR + ECMWF · UPDATED 18:00
NE 3.1 m/s
WIND
55% RH
DEW POINT 5°
SUN DOWN
SET 17:42
DRY
PRECIP 7% TODAY
3-YEAR CLIMATE · OCTOBER · 93DTODAY BELOW P10 · RARE COLD
P10 15°MEAN 21° · TODAY 12.8°P90 27°
LAST OBS 24 MIN AGO · METARAUTO-REFRESH 30S
Today: hourly observations vs ensemble
ZHCC resolution station · next METAR ~18:30 · next ENS pull ~18:40 · all temps °C
12.8°
RUNNING MAX · SINCE 01:00
12.2°
MIN · 02:00
Station obsForecast p50ECMWF p10-90 · 51 membersYesterday (final 17.8°)Running day maxΔ VS YESTERDAY · -1.7°AT 18:00
Bucket scale: model vs marketPROCLOB 18:23 · ECMWF ensemble · edge ≥ 15 pts
Polymarket has not listed temperature markets for this city since 2026-10-01; showing live station data only.
Station map1 sensors · refresh 10m
Resolution station: ZHCC
Nearby sensors: PWS network
~2 KM
Live sensors: MapLibre GL · OpenFreeMap dark tiles ship next iterationNext days: ensemble spread & early markets0 live events · early edge where spread is wide
Future markets appear here as Polymarket lists them.
Model track record · ZhengzhouScored daily · morning run vs resolution extract · since 2026-09-02
23%
LEADER HIT RATE · 30D
7 of 30 days
1.11
BRIER SCORE · MODEL
lower is better · 0 = clairvoyant
LAST 14 DAYS · LEADER BUCKET HIT
We publish the scorecard because a forecast you cannot audit is just marketing. Bias calibration lands after 2-3 weeks of history; these are raw-model numbers.
Smart money in this marketPRO80K resolved temp markets
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Upgrade to ProWeather data: METAR · Weather Underground · Open-Meteo ECMWF ensemble. Prices: Polymarket. Model probabilities use a preview bucket rule pending full verification on resolved markets. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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