WeatherZhengzhou

Zhengzhou Temperature Markets on Polymarket

0 live events

$0 vol · resolves 23:59 local · source: ZHCC|Resolution source

PEAK 9-16 · IN 9H · NIGHT MAX 11%00:28 LOCAL · 2026-10-15

CONDITIONS · METAR + ECMWF · UPDATED 00:00

SSW 3.1 m/s

WIND

52% RH

DEW POINT 9°

SUN DOWN

RISES 06:29

DRY

PRECIP 0% TODAY

3-YEAR CLIMATE · OCTOBER · 93D

P10 15°MEAN 21°P90 27°

LAST OBS 28 MIN AGO · METARAUTO-REFRESH 30S

Today: hourly observations vs ensemble

ZHCC resolution station · next METAR ~00:30 · next ENS pull ~00:40 · all temps °C

RUNNING MAX

MIN

Station obsForecast p50ECMWF p10-90 · 51 membersYesterday (final 27.2°)Running day max

Bucket scale: model vs marketPROCLOB 00:28 · ECMWF ensemble · edge ≥ 15 pts

Polymarket has not listed temperature markets for this city since 2026-10-01; showing live station data only.

Station map1 sensors · refresh 10m

Resolution station: ZHCC

Nearby sensors: PWS network

~2 KM

Live sensors: MapLibre GL · OpenFreeMap dark tiles ship next iteration

Next days: ensemble spread & early markets0 live events · early edge where spread is wide

Future markets appear here as Polymarket lists them.

Model track record · ZhengzhouScored daily · morning run vs resolution extract · since 2026-09-02

23%

LEADER HIT RATE · 30D

7 of 30 days

1.11

BRIER SCORE · MODEL

lower is better · 0 = clairvoyant

LAST 14 DAYS · LEADER BUCKET HIT

We publish the scorecard because a forecast you cannot audit is just marketing. Bias calibration lands after 2-3 weeks of history; these are raw-model numbers.

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Weather data: METAR · Weather Underground · Open-Meteo ECMWF ensemble. Prices: Polymarket. Model probabilities use a preview bucket rule pending full verification on resolved markets. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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