🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
WeatherSingapore
SG

Singapore

4 live events
Highest temperature in Singapore on September 7? $22.9K vol · resolves 23:59 local · source: WSSSPolymarket|Resolution source
PEAK 12-16 · IN 10H02:21 LOCAL · 2026-09-07
CONDITIONS · METAR + ECMWF · UPDATED 02:00
ESE 4.1 m/s
WIND
74% RH
DEW POINT 23°
SUN DOWN
RISES 06:58
DRY
PRECIP 29% TODAY
PACE TO NEXT BUCKET · 30°CWARMUP · PEAK IN 10H
+0.0°/h
RATE · OVERNIGHT DRIFT
+0.0°/h
NEEDED BY 16:00
Δ 0.5°
TO 29.5° BOUND
3-YEAR CLIMATE · SEPTEMBER · 90D
P10 29°MEAN 31° · TODAY 29.0°P90 33°
DATA STALE · OBS 2H 37M AGOAUTO-REFRESH 30S
Today: hourly observations vs ensemble
WSSS resolution station · METAR DUE NOW · next ENS pull ~06:40 · all temps °C
29.0°
RUNNING MAX · SINCE 00:00
28.0°
MIN · 02:00
2628303229° · 0¢30° · 2¢31° · 2¢32° · 14¢33° · 80¢≤28° · 0¢RESOLVES 23:59 LOCALp90p10YDA MAX 33.0°DAY MAX 29.0° · 00:00NOW 02:21000306091215182124
Station obsForecast p50ECMWF p10-90 · 51 membersYesterday (final 33.0°)Running day maxΔ VS YESTERDAY · +0.0°AT 02:00
Bucket scale: model vs marketPROCLOB 02:21 · ECMWF ensemble · edge ≥ 15 pts
33°C
80¢12%
MKT
MDL
75¢ → 80¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $195 · THIN
⚡EDGE -68
32°C
14¢78%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $119 · THIN
⚡EDGE +64
31°C
2¢10%
MKT
MDL
3¢ → 2¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $16 · THIN
WATCH +8
34°C
5¢0%
MKT
MDL
6¢ → 5¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $23 · THIN
FAIR -4
30°C
2¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $4 · THIN
FAIR -1
≤28°CELIM
0¢0%
MKT
MDL
29°C▲ DAY MAX
0¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $6 · THIN
FAIR 0
Σ market 102¢ · ECMWF 51 members · sparkline = bucket price today · preview bucket ruleEDGE = model − market (+ model sees more · − market rich) · highlight ≥ 15 pts
Station map1 sensors · refresh 10m
Resolution station: WSSS
Nearby sensors: PWS network
~2 KM
Live sensors: MapLibre GL · OpenFreeMap dark tiles ship next iteration
Next days: ensemble spread & early markets1 live events · early edge where spread is wide
TUE 08
32°C · 80%
p10-90 31.5-32.6°C
MKT 74¢ · $5.4K
Model track record · SingaporeScored daily · morning run vs resolution extract · since 2026-07-27
5%
LEADER HIT RATE · 42D
2 of 42 days
1.23
BRIER SCORE · MODEL
lower is better · 0 = clairvoyant
32°C @ 86% → 33.0°C✗ MISS
YESTERDAY · FORECAST VS FACT
actual bucket 33°C
LAST 14 DAYS · LEADER BUCKET HIT
We publish the scorecard because a forecast you cannot audit is just marketing. Bias calibration lands after 2-3 weeks of history; these are raw-model numbers.
Smart money in this marketPRO80K resolved temp markets
Smart money is a Pro feature
Whale flows in every bucket, farmer-filtered, from 1.07B indexed trades.
Upgrade to Pro
Weather data: METAR · Weather Underground · Open-Meteo ECMWF ensemble. Prices: Polymarket. Model probabilities use a preview bucket rule pending full verification on resolved markets. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
GET /api/public/v1/weather/city/singapore→ same feed this page reads