WeatherKuala Lumpur
Kuala Lumpur Temperature Markets on Polymarket
2 live eventsHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 22? $9.7K vol · resolves 23:59 local · source: WMKKPolymarket|Resolution source
PEAK 9-16 · IN 2H07:43 LOCAL · 2026-10-22
CONDITIONS · METAR + ECMWF · UPDATED 07:30
VRB 1.0 m/s
WIND
94% RH
DEW POINT 25°
SUN DOWN
SET 18:58
SHOWERS 100% BY 13:00
PRECIP 100% TODAY
PACE TO NEXT BUCKET · 29°CUNDER PACE · FAVORS 28°C
+0.0°/h
RATE
+0.1°/h
NEEDED BY 16:00
Δ 0.7°
TO 28.5° BOUND
3-YEAR CLIMATE · OCTOBER · 93D
P10 30°MEAN 32° · TODAY 27.8°P90 34°
LAST OBS 105 MIN AGO · METARAUTO-REFRESH 30S
Today: hourly observations vs ensemble
WMKK resolution station · METAR DUE NOW · next ENS pull ~12:40 · all temps °C
27.8°
RUNNING MAX · SINCE 00:30
27.2°
MIN · 01:00
Station obsForecast p50ECMWF p10-90 · 51 membersYesterday (final 33.9°)Running day maxΔ VS YESTERDAY · +1.1°AT 07:00
Bucket scale: model vs marketPROCLOB 07:43 · ECMWF ensemble · edge ≥ 15 pts
≤27°CELIM
0¢0%
MKT
MDL
≤27°CELIM
0¢0%
MKT
MDL
28°C▲ DAY MAX
0¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $4 · THIN
FAIR 0
29°C
0¢2%
MKT
MDL
1¢ → 0¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $1 · THIN
FAIR +2
30°C
0¢12%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $1 · THIN
WATCH +12
31°C
1¢26%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $3 · THIN
⚡EDGE +25
32°C
5¢43%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $8 · THIN
⚡EDGE +39
33°C
36¢18%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $112 · THIN
⚡EDGE -18
34°C
52¢0%
MKT
MDL
46¢ → 51¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $314 · THIN
⚡EDGE -51
35°C
9¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $28 · THIN
WATCH -8
Σ market 102¢ · ECMWF 51 members · sparkline = bucket price today · preview bucket ruleEDGE = model − market (+ model sees more · − market rich) · highlight ≥ 15 pts
Station map1 sensors · refresh 10m
Resolution station: WMKK
Nearby sensors: PWS network
~2 KM
Live sensors: MapLibre GL · OpenFreeMap dark tiles ship next iterationNext days: ensemble spread & early markets1 live events · early edge where spread is wide
Model track record · Kuala LumpurScored daily · morning run vs resolution extract · since 2026-09-09
14%
LEADER HIT RATE · 43D
6 of 43 days
1.01
BRIER SCORE · MODEL
lower is better · 0 = clairvoyant
32°C @ 35% → 33.9°C✗ MISS
YESTERDAY · FORECAST VS FACT
actual bucket 34°C
LAST 14 DAYS · LEADER BUCKET HIT
We publish the scorecard because a forecast you cannot audit is just marketing. Bias calibration lands after 2-3 weeks of history; these are raw-model numbers.
Smart money in this marketPRO80K resolved temp markets
Smart money is a Pro feature
Whale flows in every bucket, farmer-filtered, from 1.07B indexed trades.
Upgrade to ProWeather data: METAR · Weather Underground · Open-Meteo ECMWF ensemble. Prices: Polymarket. Model probabilities use a preview bucket rule pending full verification on resolved markets. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
GET /api/public/v1/weather/city/kuala-lumpur→ same feed this page reads