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WeatherKuala Lumpur
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Kuala Lumpur

4 live events
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 7? $14.7K vol · resolves 23:59 local · source: WMKKPolymarket|Resolution source
PEAK 12-16 · IN 10H02:08 LOCAL · 2026-09-07
CONDITIONS · METAR + ECMWF · UPDATED 01:30
VRB 1.0 m/s
WIND
79% RH
DEW POINT 23°
SUN DOWN
RISES 07:06
SHOWERS 76% BY 12:00
PRECIP 76% TODAY
PACE TO NEXT BUCKET · 29°CWARMUP · PEAK IN 10H
-1.0°/h
RATE · OVERNIGHT DRIFT
+0.0°/h
NEEDED BY 16:00
Δ 0.5°
TO 28.5° BOUND
3-YEAR CLIMATE · SEPTEMBER · 90D
P10 30°MEAN 31° · TODAY 28.0°P90 33°
LAST OBS 78 MIN AGOAUTO-REFRESH 30S
Today: hourly observations vs ensemble
WMKK resolution station · METAR DUE NOW · next ENS pull ~06:40 · all temps °C
28.0°
RUNNING MAX · SINCE 00:30
27.0°
MIN · 01:00
242628303230° · 1¢31° · 3¢32° · 6¢33° · 31¢≤29° · 0¢RESOLVES 23:59 LOCALp90p10YDA MAX 33.0°DAY MAX 28.0° · 00:30NOW 02:08000306091215182124
Station obsForecast p50ECMWF p10-90 · 51 membersYesterday (final 33.0°)Running day maxΔ VS YESTERDAY · -1.0°AT 02:00
Bucket scale: model vs marketPROCLOB 02:08 · ECMWF ensemble · edge ≥ 15 pts
32°C
6¢55%
MKT
MDL
7¢ → 6¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $46 · THIN
⚡EDGE +49
34°C
52¢6%
MKT
MDL
52¢ → 51¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $599 · THIN
⚡EDGE -46
35°C
10¢0%
MKT
MDL
9¢ → 10¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $10 · THIN
WATCH -10
31°C
3¢12%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $38 · THIN
WATCH +9
33°C
31¢28%
MKT
MDL
34¢ → 31¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $52 · THIN
FAIR -3
30°C
1¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $12 · THIN
FAIR 0
≤29°C
0¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $5 · THIN
FAIR 0
Σ market 101¢ · ECMWF 51 members · sparkline = bucket price today · preview bucket ruleEDGE = model − market (+ model sees more · − market rich) · highlight ≥ 15 pts
Station map1 sensors · refresh 10m
Resolution station: WMKK
Nearby sensors: PWS network
~2 KM
Live sensors: MapLibre GL · OpenFreeMap dark tiles ship next iteration
Next days: ensemble spread & early markets1 live events · early edge where spread is wide
TUE 08
32°C · 55%
p10-90 30.9-32.7°C
MKT 47¢ · $1.9K
Model track record · Kuala LumpurScored daily · morning run vs resolution extract · since 2026-07-27
10%
LEADER HIT RATE · 42D
4 of 42 days
1.13
BRIER SCORE · MODEL
lower is better · 0 = clairvoyant
33°C @ 65% → 33.0°C✓ HIT
YESTERDAY · FORECAST VS FACT
actual bucket 33°C
LAST 14 DAYS · LEADER BUCKET HIT
We publish the scorecard because a forecast you cannot audit is just marketing. Bias calibration lands after 2-3 weeks of history; these are raw-model numbers.
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Weather data: METAR · Weather Underground · Open-Meteo ECMWF ensemble. Prices: Polymarket. Model probabilities use a preview bucket rule pending full verification on resolved markets. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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