WeatherKuala Lumpur

Kuala Lumpur Temperature Markets on Polymarket
2 live eventsHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 24? — $23.3K vol · resolves 23:59 local · source: WMKKPolymarket|Resolution source
PEAK 12–16 · IN 12H00:31 LOCAL · 2026-07-24
CONDITIONS · METAR + ECMWF · UPDATED 00:00
N 0.0 m/s
WIND
94% RH
DEW POINT 25°
SUN DOWN
RISES 07:12
SHOWERS 71% BY 11:00
PRECIP 71% TODAY
AWAITING OBSAUTO-REFRESH 30S
Today — hourly observations vs ensemble
WMKK resolution station · next ENS pull ~00:40 · all temps °C
—
RUNNING MAX
—
MIN
Station obsForecast p50ECMWF p10–90 · 51 membersYesterday (final 32.0°)Running day max
— Bucket scale — model vs marketPROCLOB 00:31 · ECMWF ensemble · edge ≥ 15 pts
≤25°C
0¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $34 · THIN
FAIR 0
26°C
0¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $10 · THIN
FAIR 0
27°C
0¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $4 · THIN
FAIR 0
28°C
0¢6%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $2 · THIN
WATCH +6
29°C
1¢18%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $6 · THIN
⚡EDGE +17
30°C
5¢47%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $11 · THIN
⚡EDGE +42
31°C
24¢29%
MKT
MDL
22¢ → 23¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $237 · THIN
WATCH +6
32°C
41¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $1.0K
⚡EDGE -40
33°C
28¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $483 · THIN
⚡EDGE -28
34°C
4¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $26 · THIN
FAIR -4
Σ market 102¢ · ECMWF 51 members · sparkline = bucket price today · preview bucket ruleEDGE = model − market (+ model sees more · − market rich) · highlight ≥ 15 pts
— Station map1 sensors · refresh 10m
Resolution station — WMKK
Nearby sensors — PWS network
~2 KM
Live sensors — MapLibre GL · OpenFreeMap dark tiles ship next iteration— Next days — ensemble spread & early markets1 live events · early edge where spread is wide
— Model track record · Kuala LumpurScored daily · morning run vs resolution extract · since 2026-07-19
0%
LEADER HIT RATE · 5D
0 of 5 days
1.12
BRIER SCORE · MODEL
lower is better · 0 = clairvoyant
30°C @ 47% → 32.0°C✗ MISS
YESTERDAY · FORECAST VS FACT
actual bucket 32°C
LAST 5 DAYS · LEADER BUCKET HIT
We publish the scorecard because a forecast you cannot audit is just marketing. Bias calibration lands after 2–3 weeks of history — these are raw-model numbers.
— Smart money in this marketPRO80K resolved temp markets
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Upgrade to ProWeather data: METAR · Weather Underground · Open-Meteo ECMWF ensemble. Prices: Polymarket. Model probabilities use a preview bucket rule pending full verification on resolved markets. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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