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WeatherChongqing
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Chongqing

4 live events
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 7? $7.0K vol · resolves 23:59 local · source: ZUCKPolymarket|Resolution source
PEAK 12-16 · IN 10H02:17 LOCAL · 2026-09-07
CONDITIONS · METAR + ECMWF · UPDATED 02:00
ESE 3.1 m/s
WIND
45% RH
DEW POINT 16°
SUN DOWN
RISES 06:33
DRY
PRECIP 4% TODAY
3-YEAR CLIMATE · SEPTEMBER · 90D
P10 23°MEAN 32° · TODAY 30.0°P90 38°
LAST OBS 78 MIN AGOAUTO-REFRESH 30S
Today: hourly observations vs ensemble
ZUCK resolution station · METAR DUE NOW · next ENS pull ~06:40 · all temps °C
30.0°
RUNNING MAX · SINCE 00:00
29.0°
MIN · 01:00
2428323635° · 4¢36° · 16¢37° · 52¢RESOLVES 23:59 LOCALp90p10YDA MAX 36.0°DAY MAX 30.0° · 00:00NOW 02:17000306091215182124
Station obsForecast p50ECMWF p10-90 · 51 membersYesterday (final 36.0°)Running day maxΔ VS YESTERDAY · +1.0°AT 02:00
Bucket scale: model vs marketPROCLOB 02:17 · ECMWF ensemble · edge ≥ 15 pts
37°C
52¢24%
MKT
MDL
54¢ → 52¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $994 · THIN
⚡EDGE -28
38°C
27¢2%
MKT
MDL
25¢ → 26¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $127 · THIN
⚡EDGE -24
35°C
4¢28%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $6 · THIN
⚡EDGE +24
36°C
16¢37%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $139 · THIN
⚡EDGE +22
34°C
0¢10%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $1 · THIN
WATCH +10
39°C
7¢0%
MKT
MDL
5¢ → 6¢ TODAY
±1¢ DEPTH $17 · THIN
WATCH -6
≤32°C
0¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $3 · THIN
FAIR 0
33°C
0¢0%
MKT
MDL
±1¢ DEPTH $1 · THIN
FAIR 0
Σ market 104¢ · ECMWF 51 members · sparkline = bucket price today · preview bucket ruleEDGE = model − market (+ model sees more · − market rich) · highlight ≥ 15 pts
Station map1 sensors · refresh 10m
Resolution station: ZUCK
Nearby sensors: PWS network
~2 KM
Live sensors: MapLibre GL · OpenFreeMap dark tiles ship next iteration
Next days: ensemble spread & early markets1 live events · early edge where spread is wide
TUE 08
36°C · 37%
p10-90 34.9-37.3°C
MKT 38¢ · $2.4K
Model track record · ChongqingScored daily · morning run vs resolution extract · since 2026-07-27
10%
LEADER HIT RATE · 42D
4 of 42 days
1.05
BRIER SCORE · MODEL
lower is better · 0 = clairvoyant
35°C @ 43% → 36.0°C✗ MISS
YESTERDAY · FORECAST VS FACT
actual bucket 36°C
LAST 14 DAYS · LEADER BUCKET HIT
We publish the scorecard because a forecast you cannot audit is just marketing. Bias calibration lands after 2-3 weeks of history; these are raw-model numbers.
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Weather data: METAR · Weather Underground · Open-Meteo ECMWF ensemble. Prices: Polymarket. Model probabilities use a preview bucket rule pending full verification on resolved markets. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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