Grenville · Polymarket wallet 0xff08…b658

Wallet snapshot

Grenville has made 61 trades on Polymarket across 27 markets, $20K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (70%) and sports (19%). On 19 resolved markets the win rate is 84.2%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? ". Last trade: Oct 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? No · $2 · 95¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31?No · $0 · Aug 25, 2026
• Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?No · -$0 · Aug 6, 2026
• Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 6, 2026
• Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?No · +$9 · Jul 25, 2026
• Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Jul 25, 2026
• KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?No · +$3 · Jul 12, 2026
• UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No · $0 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Jul 8, 2026
• Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?No · $0 · Jul 8, 2026
• Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No · -$4 · Jun 23, 2026

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