xiaopuman · Polymarket wallet 0xfbe2…6f8d

Wallet snapshot

xiaopuman has made 2,601 trades on Polymarket across 145 markets, $59K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (48%) and politics (17%). On 109 resolved markets the win rate is 66.1%, lifetime P&L -$210. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No · $1,986 · 78¢ → 64¢
• Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $1,678 · 82¢ → 66¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $101 · 93¢ → 92¢
• Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?Yes · $14 · 16¢ → 7¢
• Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes · $2 · 4¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No · -$42 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes · +$109 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes · +$49 · Sep 28, 2026
• Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes · +$5 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 21, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.