demnith · Polymarket wallet 0xf820…4204

Wallet snapshot

demnith has made 98 trades on Polymarket across 16 markets, $3,251 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (44%) and politics (25%). On 14 resolved markets the win rate is 71.4%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US strike on Colombia by December 31?". Last trade: Feb 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US strike on Colombia by December 31?No · $78 · 71¢ → 78¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $55 · 11¢ → 72¢
• US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes · $23 · 24¢ → 23¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $22 · 88¢ → 28¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?No · $0 · Jul 1, 2026
• US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$39 · Feb 28, 2026
• US strike on Colombia by December 31?No · +$7 · Feb 3, 2026
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · -$1 · Jan 23, 2026
• Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?No · +$5 · Jan 13, 2026
• Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?No · +$1 · Jan 13, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes · +$6 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes · +$136 · Dec 10, 2025
• Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes · +$2 · Dec 7, 2025
• US military action against Iran before July?No · +$3 · Jun 22, 2025

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