Polymarket wallet 0xf78b…8e01

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xf78b…8e01 has made 89 trades on Polymarket across 47 markets, $559 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (51%). On 39 resolved markets the win rate is 61.5%, lifetime P&L +$103. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?Yes · $20 · 38¢ → 96¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $12 · 86¢ → 99¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · $11 · 94¢ → 99¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $10 · 82¢ → 85¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · $7 · 65¢ → 47¢
• Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?Yes · $2 · 29¢ → 7¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes · +$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No · $0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?No · -$10 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?Yes · +$13 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?Yes · -$10 · Oct 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.