Gray-Promenade · Polymarket wallet 0xf404…0422

Wallet snapshot

Gray-Promenade has made 235 trades on Polymarket across 176 markets, $9,680 in volume. Most of it is in sports (51%) and geopolitics (16%). On 168 resolved markets the win rate is 72.6%, lifetime P&L -$123. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No · $142 · 64¢ → 91¢
• Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?No · $67 · 62¢ → 84¢
• Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $2 · 23¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes · +$10 · Aug 15, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · -$100 · Aug 15, 2026
• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No · -$100 · Aug 9, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes · +$8 · Aug 9, 2026
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No · +$6 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No · +$4 · Aug 1, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes · +$2 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No · -$50 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes · +$8 · Jul 5, 2026
• Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes · -$20 · Jul 5, 2026

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