lllssd · Polymarket wallet 0xf0b4…c848

Wallet snapshot

lllssd has made 82 trades on Polymarket across 34 markets, $2,906 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (41%) and economics (15%). On 28 resolved markets the win rate is 57.1%, lifetime P&L +$34. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Aug 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $10 · 78¢ → 44¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes · $8 · 67¢ → 42¢
• Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes · $0 · 37¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$52 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?No · +$7 · Aug 8, 2026
• Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes · -$1 · Jul 27, 2026
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No · +$3 · Jul 1, 2026
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No · -$3 · Jun 4, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No · +$3 · Jun 2, 2026
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes · -$3 · May 16, 2026
• US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No · -$8 · May 13, 2026
• Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes · +$3 · May 13, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes · $0 · Apr 29, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.