Lively-Transplantation · Polymarket wallet 0xef78…653b

Wallet snapshot

Lively-Transplantation has made 244 trades on Polymarket across 169 markets, $4,075 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (32%) and economics (24%). On 165 resolved markets the win rate is 84.2%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $58 · 88¢ → 87¢
• Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $60M one day after launch?Yes · $28 · 96¢ → 96¢
• Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · $8 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?No · $7 · 99¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · -$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Solana dip to $40 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Solana reach $170 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?No · $0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?No · $0 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$1 · Sep 21, 2026

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