backd · Polymarket wallet 0xee05…9bd7

Wallet snapshot

backd has made 140 trades on Polymarket across 80 markets, $32K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (26%) and politics (19%). On 73 resolved markets the win rate is 74%, lifetime P&L +$1,116. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?". Last trade: Jul 24, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $29 · 95¢ → 94¢
• Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?No · $24 · 5¢ → 88¢
• Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No · $4 · 9¢ → 87¢
• Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes · $3 · 84¢ → 12¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $2 · 5¢ → 6¢
• Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes · $1 · 91¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes · -$191 · Aug 5, 2026
• Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 23, 2026
• GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes · -$46 · Jul 9, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No · +$8 · Jul 6, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No · +$11 · Jul 6, 2026
• Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes · +$2 · Jul 6, 2026
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.