Barren-Population · Polymarket wallet 0xece8…cac6

Wallet snapshot

Barren-Population has made 220 trades on Polymarket across 20 markets, $9,893 in volume. Most of it is in tech (45%) and sports (35%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 65%, lifetime P&L +$1,305. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Sep 30, 2026.

Latest closed positions

• Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes · -$13 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes · +$4 · Apr 22, 2026
• Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes · -$496 · Mar 1, 2026
• Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?No · +$324 · Mar 1, 2026
• GPT ads by March 31?Yes · +$166 · Feb 10, 2026
• Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes · -$179 · Feb 1, 2026
• Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes · +$12 · Dec 17, 2025
• Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?Yes · +$4 · Dec 14, 2025
• Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Yes · +$91 · Dec 11, 2025
• Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes · +$1 · Dec 8, 2025

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