polIRL · Polymarket wallet 0xebca…da8b

Wallet snapshot

polIRL has made 1,298 trades on Polymarket across 349 markets, $17K in volume. Most of it is in sports (45%) and politics (7%). On 319 resolved markets the win rate is 66.1%, lifetime P&L +$725. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will FW be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will FW be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No · $63 · 98¢ → 97¢
• Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?No · $25 · 76¢ → 63¢
• Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026?No · $12 · 75¢ → 83¢
• Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?No · $9 · 61¢ → 87¢
• Will Borussia Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Yes · $9 · 77¢ → 85¢
• Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027?No · $7 · 74¢ → 74¢
• Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes · $7 · 13¢ → 32¢
• Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes · $7 · 19¢ → 23¢
• Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?No · $7 · 64¢ → 66¢
• Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes · $7 · 9¢ → 7¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Bayern Munich be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?No · +$1 · Sep 26, 2026
• Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No · +$9 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Yes · +$15 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will AfD win less than 32% of all valid second votes?No · +$1 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Lacy & Marlon Win the Jynxzi Fortnite Tournament?Yes · -$2 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Lacy & Marlon Win the Jynxzi Fortnite Tournament?No · +$1 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.