probablynothing · Polymarket wallet 0xeb50…be06

Wallet snapshot

probablynothing has made 287 trades on Polymarket across 16 markets, $240K in volume. Most of it is in sports (56%) and crypto (31%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 73.3%, lifetime P&L +$75K. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?". Last trade: Sep 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · $10K · 56¢ → 59¢

Latest closed positions

• BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de MinaurNo · +$5,994 · Mar 8, 2026
• Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner TienYes · +$5,667 · Jan 29, 2026
• UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)No · +$5,152 · Jan 26, 2026
• Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas MachacYes · +$7,522 · Jan 25, 2026
• Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo SonegoYes · +$4,337 · Jan 23, 2026
• Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Ugo HumbertYes · +$5,807 · Jan 20, 2026
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes · +$3,162 · Jan 3, 2026
• Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? No · -$3,036 · Dec 30, 2025
• Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?No · +$7,928 · Dec 5, 2025
• UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)No · +$6,685 · Nov 26, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.