RAFACAS · Polymarket wallet 0xea54…4e21

Wallet snapshot

RAFACAS has made 59 trades on Polymarket across 33 markets, $539 in volume. Most of it is in sports (25%) and politics (11%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$15. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 14?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 14?Yes · $24 · 34¢ → 35¢

Latest closed positions

• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETNo · +$10 · Nov 13, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETNo · -$4 · Nov 13, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETNo · +$5 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · -$8 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?Yes · +$4 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?Yes · -$2 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETNo · +$5 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 12?Yes · +$10 · Nov 12, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.