hauntology · Polymarket wallet 0xe919…7ce2

Wallet snapshot

hauntology has made 61 trades on Polymarket across 25 markets, $2,409 in volume. Most of it is in politics (71%) and geopolitics (13%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 55%, lifetime P&L +$56. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Cuban regime falls in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Cuban regime falls in 2026?No · $176 · 87¢ → 97¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?No · $108 · 82¢ → 89¢
• Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?No · $57 · 28¢ → 32¢
• Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?No · $23 · 85¢ → 86¢

Latest closed positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · +$5 · Nov 4, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$29 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes · +$53 · Oct 27, 2026
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No · +$9 · Oct 23, 2026
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No · +$28 · Jul 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No · +$16 · May 1, 2026
• Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes · -$5 · Apr 15, 2026
• Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes · -$68 · Apr 15, 2026
• Another Canada election called in 2025?No · +$5 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the October meeting?No · +$3 · Oct 29, 2025

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