Third-Sturgeon · Polymarket wallet 0xe8d9…0882

Wallet snapshot

Third-Sturgeon has made 59 trades on Polymarket across 18 markets, $650 in volume. Most of it is in tech (39%) and economics (11%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$3. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Sep 11, 2026.

Latest closed positions

• Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$2 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$9 · Sep 4, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes · +$3 · Jun 12, 2026
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes · +$6 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$23 · Jun 9, 2026
• Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes · -$1 · May 8, 2026
• AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No · -$3 · Feb 26, 2026
• GPT ads by March 31?Yes · +$25 · Feb 10, 2026
• Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?Yes · +$9 · Jan 31, 2026

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