Cholmeley · Polymarket wallet 0xdb82…13d8

Wallet snapshot

Cholmeley has made 98 trades on Polymarket across 27 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (70%) and sports (22%). On 21 resolved markets the win rate is 61.9%, lifetime P&L +$933. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 96¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 6, 2026
• Israel military action against Yemen by August 31?No · -$5 · Aug 6, 2026
• Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 5, 2026
• Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 5, 2026
• Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$9 · Aug 3, 2026
• Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?Yes · -$10 · Aug 3, 2026
• Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Yes · $0 · Aug 1, 2026
• US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes · $0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$18 · Jul 13, 2026
• Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?Yes · +$4 · Jul 13, 2026

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