marianor · Polymarket wallet 0xd7ec…1a79

Wallet snapshot

marianor has made 362 trades on Polymarket across 42 markets, $30K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (33%) and sports (29%). On 39 resolved markets the win rate is 74.4%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?". Last trade: Jul 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No · $10 · 27¢ → 95¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $10 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes · $3 · 43¢ → 7¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes · -$23 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes · -$4 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes · +$28 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?No · +$0 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?No · +$0 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No · +$1 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes · -$5 · Jan 23, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 23, 2026
• Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No · +$1 · Jan 23, 2026
• Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No · +$3 · Jan 23, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.