ercxfergr · Polymarket wallet 0xd4ce…677d

Wallet snapshot

ercxfergr has made 104 trades on Polymarket across 61 markets, $7,029 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (23%) and crypto (23%). On 59 resolved markets the win rate is 93.2%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · $94 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Plague pandemic in 2026?No · $61 · 96¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?No · +$2 · Sep 11, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Sep 11, 2026
• US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Aug 15, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes · +$1 · Aug 15, 2026
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?No · +$3 · Jul 18, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$5 · Jul 18, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No · +$3 · Jul 18, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes · +$3 · Jun 24, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.