WilliamAckman · Polymarket wallet 0xd49b…83ef

Wallet snapshot

WilliamAckman has made 1,616 trades on Polymarket across 195 markets, $102K in volume. Most of it is in politics (53%) and geopolitics (34%). On 193 resolved markets the win rate is 57%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?". Last trade: Feb 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes · $24 · 16¢ → 5¢

Latest closed positions

• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes · +$730 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Trump visit China by April 30?No · +$415 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes · -$240 · Mar 1, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes · +$274 · Feb 28, 2026
• US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes · -$50 · Feb 28, 2026
• US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes · +$8 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No · +$45 · Jan 10, 2026
• Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes · +$230 · Jan 9, 2026
• Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · -$188 · Jan 5, 2026
• Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?No · +$112 · Dec 11, 2025

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