arianert · Polymarket wallet 0xd2c1…bf4c

Wallet snapshot

arianert has made 258 trades on Polymarket across 68 markets, $62K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (66%) and economics (18%). On 65 resolved markets the win rate is 98.5%, lifetime P&L +$209. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?". Last trade: Sep 26, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No · $1,103 · 91¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No · +$7 · Sep 2, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No · +$1 · Jul 17, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No · +$22 · Jul 1, 2026
• Xi Jinping out by June 30?No · +$6 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No · +$2 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Jun 11, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$5 · May 16, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No · +$6 · Apr 26, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No · +$7 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · +$3 · Mar 29, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.