lniefren · Polymarket wallet 0xce5c…6934

Wallet snapshot

lniefren has made 127 trades on Polymarket across 44 markets, $34K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%) and crypto (31%). On 34 resolved markets the win rate is 82.4%, lifetime P&L +$14. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 29, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No · $7 · 89¢ → 97¢
• US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No · $3 · 89¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?No · +$0 · Sep 18, 2026
• Anthropic acquired before 2027?No · +$0 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No · +$0 · Jul 24, 2026
• Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No · -$0 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No · -$0 · Jun 17, 2026
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No · -$5 · Jun 14, 2026

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