Vain-Moose · Polymarket wallet 0xcdb0…3070

Wallet snapshot

Vain-Moose has made 84 trades on Polymarket across 25 markets, $1,872 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (88%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 61.1%, lifetime P&L +$61. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes · $50 · 59¢ → 59¢
• Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes · $14 · 29¢ → 42¢
• Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes · $14 · 46¢ → 64¢
• Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes · $12 · 26¢ → 22¢
• Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?No · $9 · 67¢ → 62¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?No · -$4 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$4 · Aug 22, 2026
• Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$6 · May 21, 2026
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 27?No · +$78 · Feb 27, 2026
• MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?No · +$29 · Feb 3, 2026
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes · +$7 · Jan 3, 2026
• First to 5k: Gold or ETH?No · -$11 · Jan 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.