Cautious-Emitter · Polymarket wallet 0xcd28…a2ad

+$25 lifetime P&L · 75% win rate · 28 resolved markets · 0xcd28829a6215fd6f90d84499d5784a1d699ca2ad

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Wallet snapshot

Cautious-Emitter has made 38 trades on Polymarket across 28 markets, $533 in volume. Most of it is in politics (36%) and geopolitics (32%). On 28 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$25. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Dec 9, 2025.

Latest closed positions

U.S. recession before May 2025?No · +$2 · Jul 15, 2025
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No · -$10 · Apr 6, 2025
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?Yes · -$10 · Apr 6, 2025
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?No · +$3 · Jan 17, 2025
North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?No · +$2 · Jan 17, 2025
GPT-5 released in 2024?No · +$3 · Jan 17, 2025
U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?No · +$1 · Jan 17, 2025
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No · -$14 · Jan 17, 2025
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?Yes · +$0 · Jan 17, 2025
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?Yes · +$4 · Jan 17, 2025

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