BadSetup · Polymarket wallet 0xcc70…fc46

Wallet snapshot

BadSetup has made 91 trades on Polymarket across 33 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in sports (45%) and geopolitics (23%). On 25 resolved markets the win rate is 72%, lifetime P&L +$713. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 71¢ → 78¢
• Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes · $3 · 90¢ → 82¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes · -$2 · May 31, 2026
• Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)No · +$8 · May 12, 2026
• Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No · -$11 · May 11, 2026
• Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)No · +$23 · May 10, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No · +$1 · May 5, 2026
• Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)No · +$6 · May 4, 2026
• Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No · -$1 · May 4, 2026
• Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5)No · +$6 · Apr 10, 2026
• EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?No · -$1 · Apr 9, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.