Old-Incidence · Polymarket wallet 0xcb21…3f88

Wallet snapshot

Old-Incidence has made 572 trades on Polymarket across 226 markets, $3,021 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (28%) and sports (23%). On 217 resolved markets the win rate is 55.3%, lifetime P&L +$31. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes · $4 · 16¢ → 42¢
• Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes · $2 · 20¢ → 30¢
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes · $1 · 8¢ → 9¢
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes · $1 · 16¢ → 18¢
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes · $1 · 14¢ → 17¢
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 19?No · $1 · 41¢ → 22¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?No · +$1 · Oct 19, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 18, 2026
• Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsYes · +$4 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?Yes · -$1 · Oct 18, 2026
• Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5No · +$1 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?Yes · +$0 · Oct 18, 2026
• Spread: Utah (-20.5)

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