4E770 · Polymarket wallet 0xc917…bfec

Wallet snapshot

4E770 has made 288 trades on Polymarket across 123 markets, $25K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (42%) and politics (21%). On 102 resolved markets the win rate is 74.5%, lifetime P&L +$110. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $33 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?Yes · $23 · 60¢ → 57¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $22 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027?Yes · $18 · 60¢ → 61¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?No · $15 · 99¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$15 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$14 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · -$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$30 · Aug 21, 2026
• Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in June?No · +$0 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 June 1-7?No · +$0 · Aug 19, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.