Polymarket wallet 0xc861…3c87

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xc861…3c87 has made 105 trades on Polymarket across 56 markets, $392 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (30%) and tech (21%). On 54 resolved markets the win rate is 72.2%, lifetime P&L +$2. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 24, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No · $5 · 97¢ → 96¢
• Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No · $3 · 94¢ → 55¢

Latest closed positions

• Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes · -$5 · Sep 30, 2026
• Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 23, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Yes · -$5 · Sep 19, 2026
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No · +$0 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No · -$10 · Sep 16, 2026
• Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 14, 2026
• Next Kimi K model released by September 15, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 12, 2026
• Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 9, 2026

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