butwheredotheswallowsfly · Polymarket wallet 0xc3c5…4076

Wallet snapshot

butwheredotheswallowsfly has made 68 trades on Polymarket across 26 markets, $1,594 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (27%) and politics (19%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 55.6%, lifetime P&L -$74. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $60 · 33¢ → 42¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $20 · 42¢ → 47¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $20 · 85¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$69 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes · -$9 · Jul 19, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes · -$4 · Jul 17, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by July 31, 2026?Yes · -$20 · Jul 13, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Yes · -$15 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No · +$8 · Jun 28, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · +$3 · Jun 22, 2026
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes · +$3 · Jun 14, 2026
• Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes · -$15 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?No · -$5 · May 12, 2026

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