longbill2 · Polymarket wallet 0xc2bf…cdc8

Wallet snapshot

longbill2 has made 1,716 trades on Polymarket across 858 markets, $5,081 in volume. Most of it is in sports (71%) and crypto (5%). On 784 resolved markets the win rate is 62%, lifetime P&L -$25. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $2 · 41¢ → 71¢
• Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes · $1 · 56¢ → 34¢
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · $1 · 10¢ → 13¢
• Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes · $1 · 47¢ → 39¢
• Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1 · 8¢ → 5¢
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?Yes · $0 · 38¢ → 25¢
• Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Yes · $0 · 8¢ → 11¢
• No one announced as next James Bond?Yes · $0 · 46¢ → 27¢
• Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 10¢ → 8¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?Yes · $0 · 20¢ → 5¢

Latest closed positions

• Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · -$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Yes · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Yes · $0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.