LLMarena · Polymarket wallet 0xbe2a…f745

Wallet snapshot

LLMarena has made 80 trades on Polymarket across 19 markets, $3,855 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (21%) and politics (21%). On 13 resolved markets the win rate is 76.9%, lifetime P&L +$947. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15?". Last trade: Oct 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15?Yes · $232 · 82¢ → 69¢
• Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes · $98 · 36¢ → 79¢
• Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes · $31 · 39¢ → 78¢
• Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes · $19 · 39¢ → 45¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?No · -$26 · Oct 23, 2026
• Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by December 31, 2026?No · +$10 · Oct 9, 2026
• Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$145 · Sep 22, 2026
• Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?No · +$106 · Sep 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$44 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes · +$70 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No · -$4 · Jul 1, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$57 · Jun 18, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No · +$196 · Jun 13, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No · +$54 · Jun 13, 2026

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